Hapoel Tel Aviv
Euroleague ELO profile, season simulation & model record · 1 season covered
Also listed in our corpus as Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv. Euroleague team names carry the title sponsor of the season, so this page keeps one stable address for the team itself.
Season ELO trajectory
One point per game day: the team's ELO rating after that day's result, playoffs and Final Four included. Euroleague ELO is season-relative in our engine: every team starts each season at 0, so the value reads as a gap to that season's league average and negative numbers are normal, not a red flag. Because of the re-seed, trajectories are shown one season at a time and seasons are compared through their peak and final values in the table below. Hover a point for the date and the team's league-wide ELO position that day.
Season simulation
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Reached: Playoffs 23W–15L regular season
Full Euroleague simulation: every team's odds and the projected bracket →
How predictable is Hapoel Tel Aviv?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 36 predicted games season backtest
We grade every game forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade, with bigger penalties the more confident we were. Averaged over the season, Hapoel Tel Aviv was 2.5% easier to call than the Euroleague average. A team can be easy to call while losing: a predictable season is not a good season. How this is measured.
| Season | Games | Winner acc | Euroleague avg | Confident calls (≥65%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 season backtest | 36 | 66.7% | 67.0% | 76.5% (league 75.8%) |
Share of predicted games our published game-day prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average of the same season. In 2025-26 Hapoel Tel Aviv won 0 games as a clear underdog (we gave them 35% or less) and lost 4 as a clear favourite (65% or more).
Season by season
| Season | GP | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 as Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 42 | #8 | +20 | +131 | +14 |
GP counts every Euroleague game in the corpus including the playoffs and the Final Four. Pos is the team's league-wide ELO rank on its last game day of that season, ranked against every team's last known rating on that date. Start, Peak and End are season-relative ELO values (each season re-seeds at 0). The "as" line appears when the team's registered name changed, which in the Euroleague usually means a new title sponsor rather than a new team.
Covered players: projection predictability
| Player | Pos | Starts | Predictability score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Malcolm | SF | 28 | 8.1 |
| Vasilije Micic | SG | 32 | 6.0 |
| Elijah Bryant | PG | 32 | 3.9 |
| Ish Wainright | PF | 30 | 0.7 |
| Dan Oturu | C | 36 | 0.5 |
Every Hapoel Tel Aviv player with a predictability profile: started games only, 15-start minimum. The score measures how well our projections call the player's points, rebounds and PIR against a naive rolling average (higher is more predictable). Players without projection coverage are not listed.
Recent games: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 07, 2026 | vs Real Madrid | W Hapoel Tel Aviv 55.4% | L 81-87 ✗ |
| May 05, 2026 | vs Real Madrid | W Hapoel Tel Aviv 52.8% | W 76-69 ✓ |
| May 01, 2026 | at Real Madrid | L Hapoel Tel Aviv 28.8% | L 75-102 ✓ |
| Apr 29, 2026 | at Real Madrid | L Hapoel Tel Aviv 29.9% | L 82-86 ✓ |
| Apr 17, 2026 | at AS Monaco | L Hapoel Tel Aviv 32.1% | L 85-105 ✓ |
| Apr 12, 2026 | at Maccabi Tel Aviv | L Hapoel Tel Aviv 38.8% | W 99-88 ✗ |
| Apr 09, 2026 | vs Olympiacos Piraeus | W Hapoel Tel Aviv 54.7% | L 85-89 ✗ |
| Apr 07, 2026 | vs Fenerbahce Istanbul | W Hapoel Tel Aviv 63.3% | W 95-80 ✓ |
| Apr 02, 2026 | vs Panathinaikos Athens | W Hapoel Tel Aviv 59.7% | W 92-88 ✓ |
| Mar 27, 2026 | at Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | L Hapoel Tel Aviv 49.2% | L 109-118 ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Euroleague team ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague-teams/hapoel-tel-aviv">Euroleague team ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague-teams/hapoel-tel-aviv">Euroleague team ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>