Hapoel Tel Aviv
Euroleague ELO profile, season simulation & model record · 2 seasons covered
Also listed in our corpus as Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv. Euroleague team names carry the title sponsor of the season, so this page keeps one stable address for the team itself.
Season ELO trajectory
One point per game day: the team's ELO rating after that day's result, playoffs and Final Four included. Euroleague ELO is season-relative in our engine: every team starts each season at 0, so the value reads as a gap to that season's league average and negative numbers are normal, not a red flag. Because of the re-seed, trajectories are shown one season at a time and seasons are compared through their peak and final values in the table below. Hover a point for the date and the team's league-wide ELO position that day.
Season simulation
2026-27 season simulation
Title odds: 4.3% 24.0 projected wins · currently 5W-2L · as of 2026-10-26
Probabilities from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule (single table, play-in, best-of-five quarter-finals and the neutral-venue Final Four), refreshed daily in season.
Full Euroleague simulation: every team's odds and the projected bracket →
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Reached: Playoffs 23W-15L regular season
Full Euroleague simulation: every team's odds and the projected bracket →
How predictable is Hapoel Tel Aviv?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 36 predicted games season backtest
We grade every game forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade, with bigger penalties the more confident we were. Averaged over the season, Hapoel Tel Aviv was 2.5% easier to call than the Euroleague average. A team can be easy to call while losing: a predictable season is not a good season. How this is measured.
| Season | Games | Winner acc | Euroleague avg | Confident calls (≥65%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 1 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 100.0% (league 75.0%) |
| 2025-26 season backtest | 36 | 66.7% | 67.0% | 76.5% (league 75.8%) |
Share of predicted games our published game-day prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average of the same season. In 2025-26 Hapoel Tel Aviv won 0 games as a clear underdog (we gave them 35% or less) and lost 4 as a clear favourite (65% or more).
Season by season
| Season | GP | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 as Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 7 | #4 | -14 | +69 | +69 |
| 2025-26 | 42 | #8 | +20 | +131 | +14 |
GP counts every Euroleague game in the corpus including the playoffs and the Final Four. Pos is the team's league-wide ELO rank on its last game day of that season, ranked against every team's last known rating on that date. Start, Peak and End are season-relative ELO values (each season re-seeds at 0). The "as" line appears when the team's registered name changed, which in the Euroleague usually means a new title sponsor rather than a new team.
Recent games: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | vs Virtus Bologna | W Hapoel Tel Aviv 74.6% | W 90-81 ✓ |
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague-teams/hapoel-tel-aviv">Euroleague team ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague-teams/hapoel-tel-aviv">Euroleague team ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>