Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade vs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz Prediction · EuroLeague 2026-27 Regular Season · November 11, 2026
Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade
Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
Why the Model Favors Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade
The factors that drove this prediction, measured in win-probability points.
Starting from an even matchup, these factors move the model to 81% for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →
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HOMEPartizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade
AWAYKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
Starting Five Matchup
Key Prediction Insights
Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade is favored at home, with an 81% win probability. Its team-strength rating and home court support a clear advantage over Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz.
Total Points & Spread Analysis
The expected total is 167 points, with Partizan favored by 10 points. The forecast points to a game in which the hosts are more likely to create separation than face a close finish.
Full probability curves from our Poisson (total) and Negative-Binomial (spread) models: both the distribution (PDF) and the cumulative probability (CDF).
Total Points · expected 166.6
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(≤ X)
Spread (Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade − Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz) · expected +10.2
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(≤ X)
ELO Rating Trends
Both teams’ ELO ratings are falling, with Partizan down four points over its last five games and Baskonia down 50.
Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade
Season-relative ELO (0 = league-average team; resets each season).
Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
Season-relative ELO (0 = league-average team; resets each season).
EuroLeague ELO Power Rankings
See how every team stacks up: full ELO ratings, recent form and the season progression chart.
View Full ELO RatingsRecent Form: Last 5 Games
Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade
| Opponent | PF | PA | Diff | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 85 | 82 | +3 | |
| LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 75 | 82 | -7 | |
| Zalgiris Kaunas | 80 | 87 | -7 | |
| Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv | 88 | 67 | +21 |
Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
| Opponent | PF | PA | Diff | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens | 79 | 85 | -6 | |
| Real Madrid | 86 | 104 | -18 | |
| LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 79 | 94 | -15 | |
| Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | 65 | 84 | -19 |
Game Analysis
Home court and team strength carry most of the forecast, while Partizan also has the projected advantage in ballhandling, steals and fouls. That combination points to the hosts being better placed to protect possessions and disrupt Baskonia’s offense. Partizan is 5-5 and most recently beat Maccabi after two defeats, while Baskonia is 1-9 and has lost all three of its listed recent games.
Carlik Jones is projected for 14 points and six assists, giving Partizan a leading creator. Baskonia’s Kenneth Faried is projected for 10 points and seven rebounds, and has the highest projected PIR among his team’s starters.
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