Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
Euroleague ELO profile, season simulation & model record · 26 seasons covered
Also listed in our corpus as Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz, Cazoo Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz, Bitci Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz, TD Systems Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz, KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria Gasteiz, Laboral Kutxa Vitoria Gasteiz and 5 more. Euroleague team names carry the title sponsor of the season, so this page keeps one stable address for the team itself.
Season ELO trajectory
One point per game day: the team's ELO rating after that day's result, playoffs and Final Four included. Euroleague ELO is season-relative in our engine: every team starts each season at 0, so the value reads as a gap to that season's league average and negative numbers are normal, not a red flag. Because of the re-seed, trajectories are shown one season at a time and seasons are compared through their peak and final values in the table below. Hover a point for the date and the team's league-wide ELO position that day.
Season simulation
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Missed the playoffs 13W–25L regular season
Full Euroleague simulation: every team's odds and the projected bracket →
How predictable is Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz?
On script 2025-26 · 32 predicted games season backtest
We grade every game forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade, with bigger penalties the more confident we were. Averaged over the season, Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz was 19.1% easier to call than the Euroleague average. A team can be easy to call while losing: a predictable season is not a good season. How this is measured.
| Season | Games | Winner acc | Euroleague avg | Confident calls (≥65%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 season backtest | 32 | 78.1% | 67.0% | 92.9% (league 75.8%) |
Share of predicted games our published game-day prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average of the same season. In 2025-26 Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz won 0 games as a clear underdog (we gave them 35% or less) and lost 1 as a clear favourite (65% or more).
Season by season
| Season | GP | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 as Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 38 | #18 | -25 | -18 | -92 |
| 2024-25 | 34 | #12 | +14 | +21 | -36 |
| 2023-24 | 39 | #12 | -14 | +38 | -49 |
| 2022-23 as Cazoo Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 34 | #11 | +31 | +112 | +2 |
| 2021-22 as Bitci Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 32 | #14 | -23 | -2 | -35 |
| 2020-21 as TD Systems Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 34 | #4 | +19 | +115 | +75 |
| 2019-20 as KIROLBET Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 28 | #13 | +34 | +35 | -71 |
| 2018-19 | 34 | #6 | +29 | +73 | +32 |
| 2017-18 | 34 | #5 | -18 | +116 | +61 |
| 2016-17 | 33 | #8 | +5 | +83 | +18 |
| 2015-16 as Laboral Kutxa Vitoria Gasteiz | 29 | #4 | -8 | +149 | +102 |
| 2014-15 as Laboral Kutxa Vitoria | 24 | #10 | +22 | +28 | +1 |
| 2013-14 | 24 | #9 | +12 | +60 | +26 |
| 2012-13 | 28 | #8 | -12 | +72 | +51 |
| 2011-12 as Caja Laboral | 10 | #11 | +18 | +43 | +2 |
| 2010-11 as Caja Laboral Vitoria | 20 | #9 | +20 | +92 | +41 |
| 2009-10 as Caja Laboral | 20 | #7 | -18 | +94 | +50 |
| 2008-09 as Tau Ceramica | 21 | #5 | +17 | +169 | +115 |
| 2007-08 as Tau Ceramica Vitoria-Gasteiz | 25 | #5 | -13 | +157 | +93 |
| 2006-07 | 24 | #3 | -22 | +246 | +194 |
| 2005-06 | 25 | #3 | +16 | +176 | +159 |
| 2004-05 | 24 | #5 | +25 | +142 | +123 |
| 2003-04 as Tau Ceramica | 20 | #5 | -21 | +98 | +98 |
| 2002-03 | 20 | #12 | +14 | +75 | -0 |
| 2001-02 | 20 | #7 | -5 | +161 | +111 |
| 2000-01 as Tau Ceramica Vitoria-Gasteiz | 22 | #2 | -8 | +233 | +181 |
GP counts every Euroleague game in the corpus including the playoffs and the Final Four. Pos is the team's league-wide ELO rank on its last game day of that season, ranked against every team's last known rating on that date. Start, Peak and End are season-relative ELO values (each season re-seeds at 0). The "as" line appears when the team's registered name changed, which in the Euroleague usually means a new title sponsor rather than a new team.
Covered players: projection predictability
| Player | Pos | Starts | Predictability score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gytis Radzevicius | SF | 24 | 13.2 |
| Rodions Kurucs | PF | 18 | 6.8 |
| Trent Forrest | SG | 19 | 6.5 |
| Kobi Simmons | PG | 17 | 1.7 |
| Khalifa Diop | C | 21 | -2.1 |
Every Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz player with a predictability profile: started games only, 15-start minimum. The score measures how well our projections call the player's points, rebounds and PIR against a naive rolling average (higher is more predictable). Players without projection coverage are not listed.
Recent games: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | at Partizan Belgrade | L Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz 42.9% | L 79-91 ✓ |
| Apr 10, 2026 | at Virtus Bologna | L Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz 40.1% | W 82-72 ✗ |
| Apr 07, 2026 | vs Maccabi Tel Aviv | W Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz 51.8% | W 101-98 ✓ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | vs Real Madrid | L Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz 43.2% | W 98-96 ✗ |
| Mar 27, 2026 | vs Hapoel Tel Aviv | W Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz 50.8% | W 118-109 ✓ |
| Mar 25, 2026 | vs Crvena Zvezda Belgrade | L Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz 48.4% | L 100-108 ✓ |
| Mar 19, 2026 | at Olympiacos Piraeus | L Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz 16.6% | L 80-90 ✓ |
| Mar 12, 2026 | at Dubai Basketball | L Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz 19.7% | L 94-100 ✓ |
| Mar 06, 2026 | vs Paris Basketball | W Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz 65.1% | L 81-97 ✗ |
| Feb 26, 2026 | vs Valencia Basket | W Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz 55.7% | L 79-108 ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
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