Serie B 2026-2027: Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia Prediction - 10 Oct 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5 | Corners | Shots | Spread

Virtus Entella

Home Team
43%
VS

Juve Stabia

Away Team
27%
Draw: 30%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%
Expected Corners: 9.4
Expected Shots: 26.2
Expected Spread: +0.0

Why the Model Leans Virtus Entella

The factors behind the model's pick between the two sides, in win-probability points. The draw is priced separately above.

Home advantage +11.1 Virtus Entella
Defense +3.4 Virtus Entella
Team strength (Elo & Glicko) +1.8 Juve Stabia
Attack +0.6 Virtus Entella

When this match produces a winner, these factors move the model from an even matchup to 62% for Virtus Entella. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →

Why the Model Sees Under 2.5

The factors behind the goals prediction, in probability points toward Under or Over. Independent of the winner model.

League scoring environment +2.6 Under
Juve Stabia attack & chance creation +1.6 Over
Virtus Entella defense +1.4 Under
Juve Stabia defense +1.2 Over
Rating-implied goals (Elo & Glicko) +1.0 Under

These factors move the model from an even matchup to 54% for Under 2.5. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10 5 5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9 3 6 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10 5 5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8 4 4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7 4 3 10
6 Verona 5 2 1 2 10 7 3 7
7 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7 6 1 7
8 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7 6 1 7
9 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6 5 1 7
10 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8 8 0 7
11 Padova 5 2 1 2 5 6 -1 7
12 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4 6 -2 6
13 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6 13 -7 6
14 Virtus Entella 5 1 2 2 7 6 1 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7 10 -3 5
17 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4 7 -3 5
18 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5 9 -4 4
19 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5 9 -4 3
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2 6 -4 1

Recent Trends

Virtus Entella D W D L L

  • Last Match: D vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Pisa (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Vicenza (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Cesena (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Sudtirol (Goals: 0 - 1)

Juve Stabia D D L W L

  • Last Match: D vs Cesena (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Vicenza (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Pisa (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Sampdoria (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Palermo (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Virtus Entella

Goals scored (avg, home) 1.50
Goals conceded (avg, home) 2.00
Clean Sheets 1

Juve Stabia

Goals scored (avg, away) 1.00
Goals conceded (avg, away) 1.00
Clean Sheets 0

Key Prediction Insights

The model gives Virtus Entella a 43% chance of winning at home, with the draw at 30% and Juve Stabia at 27%. This is a tight call, with Virtus Entella only narrowly ahead. On goals the model leans Under 2.5 at 54% and sees both teams scoring in 53% of cases.

Match Analysis

Virtus Entella arrive with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 league games (DWDLL from most recent), scoring 7 and conceding 6 with 1 clean sheet. Juve Stabia arrive with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 league games (DDLWL from most recent), scoring 4 and conceding 7 with 0 clean sheets. In the table Virtus Entella sit 14th with 5 points from 5 games and a goal difference of +1, while Juve Stabia are 17th with 5 points and a goal difference of -3. The two sides are level on points. Virtus Entella average 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over their last five home games, while Juve Stabia average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded over their last five away games. Looking at what drives the winner call, the model's own attribution points to home advantage (11.1 points toward Virtus Entella), defense (3.4 points toward Virtus Entella), team strength (Elo & Glicko) (1.8 points toward Juve Stabia). These factors are measured in win-probability points and add up to the gap between the two sides if there is a winner.

Under/Over 2.5 Goals Prediction

Recent Goals Trends

Total goals per match in the last 5 games. Green bars = Over 2.5, Red bars = Under 2.5

Virtus Entella
Goals in last 5 matches
Juve Stabia
Goals in last 5 matches
The model puts Under 2.5 at 54% and Over 2.5 at 46%, so its call is Under 2.5. Recent games point the same way: Virtus Entella matches produced 2.6 goals on average over their last 5, Juve Stabia matches 2.2. Both teams to score comes in at 53%, no goal for at least one side at 47%. In the model's own attribution, league scoring environment pulls toward Under by 2.6 points and Juve Stabia attack & chance creation pulls toward Over by 1.6 points.

Corners Prediction

Recent Corners Trends

Corners won (green) and conceded (orange) in the last 5 games. Expected corners shown as reference line.

Virtus Entella
Corners in last 5 matches
Juve Stabia
Corners in last 5 matches

Corners Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each corner count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of corners ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The model expects 9.4 corners in total. The single most likely count is 9. The chance of 9 corners or fewer is 53%, which leaves 47% for 10 or more corners. The chart shows the full distribution and the over-the-line curve for every count.

Shots Prediction

Recent Shots Trends

Shots taken (blue) and faced (red) in the last 5 games. Expected shots shown as reference line.

Virtus Entella
Shots in last 5 matches
Juve Stabia
Shots in last 5 matches

Shots Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each shot count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of shots ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
Total shots are expected at 26.2 for the two teams combined. The most likely single count is 26. The chance of 26 shots or fewer is 54%, which leaves 46% for 27 or more shots.

Goal Spread Prediction

Goal Spread Probability Distribution

Positive = Virtus Entella wins by X goals. Negative = Juve Stabia wins by X goals.

Distribution
Probability of each goal difference outcome
Goal spread probability distribution for Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia with expected spread of +0.0
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of goal difference ≤ X
Cumulative goal spread probability chart for Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The expected goal margin is 0.0 goals in favour of Virtus Entella. The spread model gives 23% to a Virtus Entella win by two goals or more and 43% to any Juve Stabia win. A level scoreline is the single most likely margin.

Final Prediction

Final call: Virtus Entella win (43%), Under 2.5 (54%), Goal (53%). Expected totals: 9.4 corners and 26.2 shots. Every number on this page comes from Predixsport's published models, with the full probability distributions in the charts and in the downloadable data.

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Over/Under 2.5 Goals Draw Predictions Both Teams to Score Goal Spread Corners

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