Virtus Entella
Serie B · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #12 of 20 47.6 expected pts · currently 6 pts after 6 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full Serie B simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #14 of 20 in Serie B 42 pts · 10W-12D-16L · GD -15
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Serie B simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Virtus Entella?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 33 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Virtus Entella's results were 4.0% harder to call than the Serie B average. How this is measured.
| Market | Virtus Entella | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 45.5% | 49.7% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 54.5% | 54.2% |
| Both teams to score | 57.6% | 52.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Serie B | #14 | 1438 | 1461 | 1460 |
| 2025-26 | Serie B | #13 | 1498 | 1519 | 1458 |
| 2020-21 | Serie B | #20 | 1459 | 1459 | 1294 |
| 2019-20 | Serie B | #16 | 1465 | 1545 | 1442 |
| 2017-18 | Serie B | #18 | 1466 | 1537 | 1429 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Juve Stabia | W Virtus Entella 43.4% · draw 29.9% | D ✗ |
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
The Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/virtus-entella">Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/virtus-entella">Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>