Serie B 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

49.7%
Final Result Accuracy
54.2%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.7%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
79.7%
Double Chance Accuracy
December 21, 2025
Mantova vs Empoli
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.5% (Mantova)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 33.2% (Empoli)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.4%
Under: 49.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.3%
No Goal: 45.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 21, 2025
Virtus Entella vs Sudtirol
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.0% (Virtus Entella)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 29.1% (Sudtirol)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.7%
No Goal: 51.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Pescara vs Reggiana
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.1% (Pescara)
Draw: 28.5%
Away Win: 35.4% (Reggiana)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.2%
Under: 47.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.2%
No Goal: 44.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Avellino vs Palermo
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 22.7% (Avellino)
Draw: 25.1%
Away Win: 52.2% (Palermo)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.3%
Under: 56.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.0%
No Goal: 50.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Padova vs Sampdoria
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.9% (Padova)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 33.6% (Sampdoria)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.5%
Under: 55.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.1%
No Goal: 50.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Monza vs Carrarese
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 59.4% (Monza)
Draw: 23.7%
Away Win: 16.9% (Carrarese)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.3%
Under: 55.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Modena vs Venezia
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.5% (Modena)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 31.2% (Venezia)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.8%
Under: 48.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.1%
No Goal: 40.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Frosinone vs Spezia
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 54.1% (Frosinone)
Draw: 25.9%
Away Win: 19.9% (Spezia)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.0%
Under: 49.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.1%
No Goal: 48.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Cesena vs Juve Stabia
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.5% (Cesena)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 26.2% (Juve Stabia)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.5%
Under: 55.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.8%
No Goal: 50.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 19, 2025
Bari vs Catanzaro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.2% (Bari)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 35.9% (Catanzaro)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.5%
Under: 57.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.7%
No Goal: 49.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 14, 2025
Carrarese vs Virtus Entella
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.5% (Carrarese)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 33.6% (Virtus Entella)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.6%
Under: 53.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.8%
No Goal: 50.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 14, 2025
Pescara vs Frosinone
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 23.8% (Pescara)
Draw: 24.5%
Away Win: 51.7% (Frosinone)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.7%
Under: 47.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.5%
No Goal: 41.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Juve Stabia vs Empoli
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.2% (Juve Stabia)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 28.9% (Empoli)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.3%
Under: 55.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.8%
No Goal: 50.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 13, 2025
Cesena vs Mantova
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 49.7% (Cesena)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 21.0% (Mantova)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.6%
Under: 55.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.2%
No Goal: 50.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Catanzaro vs Avellino
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.9% (Catanzaro)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 24.1% (Avellino)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.2%
Under: 52.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.5%
No Goal: 49.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 13, 2025
Venezia vs Monza
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.7% (Venezia)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 24.3% (Monza)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.2%
No Goal: 45.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 13, 2025
Sudtirol vs Bari
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.5% (Sudtirol)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 30.0% (Bari)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.7%
Under: 56.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.2%
No Goal: 49.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 13, 2025
Spezia vs Modena
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.6% (Spezia)
Draw: 28.7%
Away Win: 42.7% (Modena)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.9%
Under: 56.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.5%
No Goal: 48.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 13, 2025
Reggiana vs Padova
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.7% (Reggiana)
Draw: 32.5%
Away Win: 31.8% (Padova)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.2%
Under: 52.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 12, 2025
Palermo vs Sampdoria
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 55.2% (Palermo)
Draw: 25.9%
Away Win: 19.0% (Sampdoria)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.1%
Under: 52.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 08, 2025
Avellino vs Venezia
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 23.8% (Avellino)
Draw: 25.8%
Away Win: 50.4% (Venezia)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.6%
Under: 54.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.3%
No Goal: 44.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 08, 2025
Modena vs Catanzaro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 56.6% (Modena)
Draw: 26.1%
Away Win: 17.4% (Catanzaro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.8%
No Goal: 47.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 08, 2025
Monza vs Sudtirol
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 66.6% (Monza)
Draw: 20.7%
Away Win: 12.7% (Sudtirol)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.0%
Under: 56.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.3%
No Goal: 53.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 08, 2025
Mantova vs Reggiana
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.3% (Mantova)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 29.8% (Reggiana)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.5%
Under: 47.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.0%
No Goal: 46.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 08, 2025
Frosinone vs Juve Stabia
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.5% (Frosinone)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 28.4% (Juve Stabia)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.2%
Under: 51.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 08, 2025
Padova vs Cesena
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.7% (Padova)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 37.9% (Cesena)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.2%
Under: 53.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.2%
No Goal: 50.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 08, 2025
Bari vs Pescara
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.0% (Bari)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 29.0% (Pescara)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.2%
No Goal: 47.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 08, 2025
Virtus Entella vs Spezia
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.2% (Virtus Entella)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 28.6% (Spezia)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.2%
Under: 54.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.6%
No Goal: 51.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 07, 2025
Sampdoria vs Carrarese
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.7% (Sampdoria)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 31.0% (Carrarese)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.8%
Under: 53.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 07, 2025
Empoli vs Palermo
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.0% (Empoli)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 39.1% (Palermo)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.5%
Under: 56.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.3%
No Goal: 49.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal