Alejandro Tabilo

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1739 · #40 Hard #33 Clay #67 Grass #199 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

125-100 55.6% in 225 matches

Clay 53-43
Grass 12-13
Hard 60-44

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 47 26-21 1572 1740 1739
2025 32 16-16 1694 1756 1727
2024 54 32-22 1571 1849 1724
2023 22 10-12 1557 1677 1511
2022 37 22-15 1550 1715 1625
2021 26 14-12 1539 1642 1619
2020 7 5-2 1523 1685 1639

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Alexei Popyrin W 3-1
Yannick Hanfmann W 3-1
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Rafael Jodar L 0-2
Jan-Lennard Struff W 2-0
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Hubert Hurkacz L 0-2
Jul 27, 2026 Washington · Hard Rafael Jodar L 1-2
Ben Shelton W 2-1
Terence Atmane W 2-0
Tallon Griekspoor W 2-1
Jul 20, 2026 Estoril · Clay Tiago Torres L 0-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Alejandro Tabilo?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 6.3 actual vs 6.9 projected
2.64 our average miss per match
3.00 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+12% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 21 of the 26 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Alejandro Tabilo follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 45 24-21 68.9% 14 vs 18.0 exp On serve
2025 26 11-15 46.2% 14 vs 11.0 exp On serve
2024 bt 52 30-22 61.5% 20 vs 19.1 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Alejandro Tabilo's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The ATP ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/alejandro-tabilo">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)