Flavio Cobolli

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1875 · #10 Hard #34 Clay #10 Grass #10 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

121-91 57.1% in 212 matches

Clay 52-33
Grass 13-11
Hard 56-47

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 50 32-18 1696 1968 1875
2025 54 29-25 1651 1881 1744
2024 70 42-28 1564 1827 1813
2023 19 12-7 1534 1667 1585
2022 16 6-10 1532 1611 1526
2021 2 0-2 1502 1490 1474
2020 1 0-1 1501 1472 1472

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Alexander Blockx L 1-3
Tristan Schoolkate W 3-1
Francisco Comesana W 3-2
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Arthur Fils L 0-2
Tommy Paul W 2-1
Rafael Jodar W 2-1
Alexander Blockx W 2-1
Miomir Kecmanovic W 2-1
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Yannick Hanfmann L 0-2
Jul 13, 2026 Umag · Clay Roman Andres Burruchaga L 0-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Flavio Cobolli?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 4.5 actual vs 5.7 projected
2.56 our average miss per match
2.33 baseline average miss (last five matches)
-10% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 49 of the 54 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Flavio Cobolli follow the script?

Wild card · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 50 32-18 50.0% 25 vs 18.6 exp Wild card
2025 54 29-25 64.8% 19 vs 20.6 exp On serve
2024 bt 60 34-26 65.0% 21 vs 23.4 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Flavio Cobolli's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/flavio-cobolli">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)