Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passaro: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Tabilo arrives as the higher-ranked player (No. 71) with a substantially stronger Elo (approximately 758) compared with Passaro (rank 159, Elo ~454). Tabilo’s form index sits at 48.8 while Passaro’s is slightly higher at 52.0. Fatigue is a notable divergence: Tabilo has logged 63 minutes in-court this event versus Passaro’s heavy 312 minutes, which could influence endurance on demanding clay. Surface strength indices for both are low (Tabilo 6.37, Passaro 5.25), indicating neither has a pronounced clay-court profile in the underlying data. Serve and return profiles show meaningful contrasts. Passaro’s mean serve index (96.37) is higher than Tabilo’s (88.62) by more than five points, and his mean return index (89.84) far exceeds Tabilo’s (47.82), signaling that Passaro is modeled as both a stronger server and a much stronger returner. Over the last three matches each, both players have two wins and one loss: Tabilo beat Emilio Nava and Joao Fonseca and lost to Tomas Martin Etcheverry; Passaro beat Dino Prizmic and Elmer Moller and lost to Vilius Gaubas. Match durations show Passaro has played many more minutes in this event, which relates back to the fatigue gap.