Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 64

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Vukic Prediction

VS

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #105
54%
Expected Total Games: 25.0
Predicted Winner: Aleksandar Vukic

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Player Metrics

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Form Index: 17.5
ELO Rating: 1235.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1522.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.4
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 13.2
Serve Rating: 99.3
Return Rating: 82.8

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 39.8
ELO Rating: 666.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1548.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 5.1
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 86.5

Recent Matches

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Aleksandar Vukic

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
vs
0
Aleksandar Vukic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the ATP 500 tournament in Washington, D.C., Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will face Aleksandar Vukic on hard court. The predicted winner is Aleksandar Vukic, with a probability of winning set at 54.16%, while Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has a 45.84% chance. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with a predicted total of 25 games.

Match Analysis

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, currently ranked 45, has a form index of 17.51 and an Elo rating of 1235.26. His surface strength index stands at 12.39, indicating a solid performance on hard courts. In contrast, Aleksandar Vukic is ranked 105, with a significantly higher form index of 39.84 and an Elo rating of 666.68. Despite his lower rank, Vukic's surface strength index of 7.73 shows he is adaptable but less effective on hard courts compared to Perricard. Notably, Perricard possesses a mean serve index (99.25) that is higher than Vukic's (95.97) by more than 5 points, which could provide a crucial advantage during service games. However, Vukic excels in return with a mean return index of 86.51, which is also greater than Perricard’s (82.79) by over 5 points. Both players come into the match with mixed recent performances. Mpetshi Perricard has faced tough competition, losing all three of his last matches, including two at Wimbledon and one at London, where he struggled to close out sets. Vukic also faced challenges, losing his last two matches but notably secured a victory against Chun-Hsin Tseng in Wimbledon. His ability to win sets in that match demonstrates resilience, despite recent setbacks.

Final Prediction

Aleksandar Vukic holds a slight edge due to his higher form index and better recent competitive performance, despite his lower ranking. The key factor to watch will be Vukic's return game, as his superior return index may pose significant challenges for Perricard's serve, potentially dictating the match's outcome.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel