Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 64

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Vukic Prediction

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Rank: #45
46%
VS

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #105
54%
Predicted Games Played: 25.0
Predicted Winner: Aleksandar Vukic

Ranking Trends

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

  • Current Rank: #45 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #37 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #30 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #50 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #47 (2024-07-22)

Aleksandar Vukic

  • Current Rank: #105 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #83 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #68 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #72 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #60 (2024-07-22)

Player Metrics

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Form Index: 17.5
ELO Rating: 1235.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1522.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.4
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 13.2
Serve Rating: 99.3
Return Rating: 82.8

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 39.8
ELO Rating: 666.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1548.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 5.1
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 86.5

Recent Matches

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (1-2) grass London 151 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) grass Stuttgart 77 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Roman Safiullin (2-1) grass Stuttgart 135 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Damir Dzumhur (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Aleksandar Vukic
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Emilio Nava (0-2) hard Los Cabos 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs James Duckworth (1-2) grass Eastbourne 141 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jenson Brooksby (2-0) grass Eastbourne 83 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
vs
0
Aleksandar Vukic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the ATP 500 tournament in Washington, D.C., Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will face Aleksandar Vukic on hard court. The predicted winner is Aleksandar Vukic, with a probability of winning set at 54.16%, while Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has a 45.84% chance. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with a predicted total of 25 games.

Match Analysis

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, currently ranked 45, has a form index of 17.51 and an Elo rating of 1235.26. His surface strength index stands at 12.39, indicating a solid performance on hard courts. In contrast, Aleksandar Vukic is ranked 105, with a significantly higher form index of 39.84 and an Elo rating of 666.68. Despite his lower rank, Vukic's surface strength index of 7.73 shows he is adaptable but less effective on hard courts compared to Perricard. Notably, Perricard possesses a mean serve index (99.25) that is higher than Vukic's (95.97) by more than 5 points, which could provide a crucial advantage during service games. However, Vukic excels in return with a mean return index of 86.51, which is also greater than Perricard’s (82.79) by over 5 points. Both players come into the match with mixed recent performances. Mpetshi Perricard has faced tough competition, losing all three of his last matches, including two at Wimbledon and one at London, where he struggled to close out sets. Vukic also faced challenges, losing his last two matches but notably secured a victory against Chun-Hsin Tseng in Wimbledon. His ability to win sets in that match demonstrates resilience, despite recent setbacks.

Final Prediction

Aleksandar Vukic holds a slight edge due to his higher form index and better recent competitive performance, despite his lower ranking. The key factor to watch will be Vukic's return game, as his superior return index may pose significant challenges for Perricard's serve, potentially dictating the match's outcome.