Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Tomas Barrios Vera vs Alex Michelsen Prediction

Tomas Barrios Vera

Rank: #142
34%
VS

Alex Michelsen

Rank: #34
66%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alex Michelsen

Player Metrics

Tomas Barrios Vera

Form Index: 41.2
ELO Rating: 441.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1554.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 236.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.2
Clay: 3.6
Grass: 2.7
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 86.7

Alex Michelsen

Form Index: 26.4
ELO Rating: 1144.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1589.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.2
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 9.7
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 88.8

Recent Matches

Tomas Barrios Vera

  • Last Match: vs Gael Monfils (2-1) hard Toronto 166 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Coleman Wong (2-0) hard Toronto 70 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (0-2) clay Umag 70 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (0-2) clay Bastad 118 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs James McCabe (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Alex Michelsen

  • Last Match: vs Daniel Evans (0-2) hard Washington 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (0-2) grass Mallorca 115 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Roberto Bautista Agut (2-0) grass Mallorca 103 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Brandon Holt (2-0) grass Mallorca 78 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Tomas Barrios Vera
vs
0
Alex Michelsen
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Tomas Barrios Vera and Alex Michelsen in the Round of 64 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto promises to be intriguing as both players vie for advancement on hard court. With a predicted winner of Alex Michelsen, the probability of a win for Tomas Barrios Vera stands at 34.24%, while Michelsen boasts a higher probability of 65.76%. The anticipated total number of games played is estimated to be around 23.

Match Analysis

Tomas Barrios Vera, currently ranked 142, has a form index of 41.15, which suggests he has been performing moderately well. His Elo rating of 441.85 indicates a lower competitive edge compared to Michelsen. Fatigue may also be a concern for Barrios Vera, who has accumulated 236 minutes on court during the current tournament. His surface strength index of 4.16 is relatively low, suggesting he may struggle on hard courts. In contrast, Alex Michelsen is ranked 34 with a form index of 26.38 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 1144.75, reflecting his stronger competitive stature. Michelsen has zero cumulative fatigue, which could play a pivotal role in his performance. His surface strength index of 11.17 further emphasizes his capability on hard surfaces. In their recent performances, Barrios Vera secured two wins in his last three matches, notably defeating Gael Monfils in a tightly contested match. However, he faced a setback against Mariano Navone in Umag. On the other hand, Michelsen has struggled in his last three outings, losing to Daniel Evans, Miomir Kecmanovic, and Corentin Moutet. Despite his recent losses, Michelsen's higher rank and overall better metrics suggest he is likely to bounce back strongly.

Final Prediction

Alex Michelsen's superior ranking, Elo rating, and lack of fatigue provide him a clear edge heading into this match against Tomas Barrios Vera. A critical factor to watch will be how Barrios Vera manages his fatigue levels, as it could significantly influence the match's pace and outcome.