Kitzbuhel Austria Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Alexander Bublik vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Prediction

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #30
63%
VS

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Rank: #130
37%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

Player Metrics

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 65.1
ELO Rating: 1727.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1710.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.2
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 86.2

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Form Index: 45.2
ELO Rating: 544.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1546.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 62.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.9
Clay: 4.7
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 87.7

Recent Matches

Alexander Bublik

  • Last Match: vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (2-1) clay Gstaad 127 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (2-0) clay Gstaad 73 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (2-0) clay Gstaad 71 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexander Shevchenko (2-0) clay Gstaad 61 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Thiago Agustin Tirante

  • Last Match: vs Jaime Faria (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 62 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (1-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Pablo Carreno Busta (0-2) clay Rome 96 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Bublik
vs
0
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Alexander Bublik and Thiago Agustin Tirante is set to take place in the Round of 16 at the Kitzbühel tournament, located in Austria, on a clay surface. Bublik is favored to win this encounter with a probability of 62.61%, while Tirante holds a 37.39% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Alexander Bublik currently holds a rank of 30 and boasts a form index of 65.06, indicating a solid performance level. His Elo rating stands at 1727, reflecting a strong competitive history. Notably, he has zero cumulative fatigue from the current tournament, which should allow him to maintain high energy levels throughout the match. Bublik’s surface strength index is 14.28, and he has a mean serve index of 96.93, significantly higher than Tirante's mean serve index of 95.62. This 1.31-point advantage, while not exceeding the 5-point threshold, still suggests Bublik's serve could be a decisive factor. On the return side, Bublik's mean return index is 86.18, trailing Tirante's 87.68, although this difference is also marginal. In their recent match performances, Bublik has shown strong form, winning all three of his last matches at the Gstaad tournament, with a particularly notable win against Juan Manuel Cerundolo in a 2-1 set victory. In contrast, Thiago Agustin Tirante, currently ranked 130, has a form index of 45.23 and an Elo rating of 544, which signifies a less favorable competitive standing. His recent results include a win over Jaime Faria, but he suffered losses in two consecutive matches at Roland Garros, indicating a decline in form and higher fatigue levels with 62 minutes accumulated in the current tournament.

Final Prediction

Bublik's higher ranking, better recent performance, and favorable fatigue levels provide him a distinct edge over Tirante. The key factor to monitor during the match will be Bublik's serve, as his ability to dominate in this aspect could dictate the flow of the game and ultimately lead to his victory.