Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Alexander Bublik vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #16
67%
VS

Valentin Vacherot

Rank: #202
33%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

Ranking Trends

Alexander Bublik

  • Current Rank: #16 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #31 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #77 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #33 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #27 (2024-09-30)

Valentin Vacherot

  • Current Rank: #202 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #261 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #259 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #140 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #115 (2024-09-30)

Player Metrics

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 51.8
ELO Rating: 1772.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1755.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.7
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.2
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 86.0

Valentin Vacherot

Form Index: 58.7
ELO Rating: 508.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1547.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 403.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.6
Clay: 4.5
Grass: 3.3
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 85.8

Recent Matches

Alexander Bublik
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Adrian Mannarino (0-2) hard Beijing 59 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Valentin Royer (2-0) hard Hangzhou 111 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Yibing Wu (2-0) hard Hangzhou 61 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Dalibor Svrcina (2-0) hard Hangzhou 53 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-1) hard Hangzhou 133 min

Valentin Vacherot
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Laslo Djere (2-0) hard Shanghai 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Liam Draxl (2-1) hard Shanghai 168 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Nishesh Basavareddy (2-1) hard Shanghai 151 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Carlos Taberner (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Bublik
vs
0
Valentin Vacherot
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Shanghai Masters 1000, Alexander Bublik is set to face Valentin Vacherot on hard courts in China. Bublik is predicted to win with a probability of 66.66%, while Vacherot has a 33.34% chance of victory. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 22 games.

Match Analysis

Alexander Bublik, currently ranked 16, has a form index of 51.77 and an Elo rating of 1771.96, indicating a strong competitive presence. He boasts a fatigue level of 0.0 minutes, suggesting he is well-rested and ready for this encounter. Bublik's surface strength index of 10.71 further affirms his capability on hard courts, along with a notable mean serve index of 96.95, which is significantly higher than Vacherot's index of 95.28. Additionally, Bublik's mean return index stands at 85.96, presenting another edge over Vacherot, who has a mean return index of 85.76, keeping the difference under 5 points. Valentin Vacherot, ranked 202, comes into this match with a form index of 58.67 and a considerably lower Elo rating of 508.94. His fatigue level of 403.0 minutes indicates he has played extensively in the current tournament, which may impact his performance. Despite this, Vacherot has shown resilience, winning his last three matches in Shanghai, including a recent victory over Laslo Djere. Bublik, however, faced a tough loss against Adrian Mannarino in his last match, which could affect his confidence, despite earlier wins against Yibing Wu and Valentin Royer.

Final Prediction

Bublik holds a distinct advantage through his higher ranking, lower fatigue levels, and superior serving capabilities. His powerful serve and overall performance metrics provide a strong basis for his predicted victory. A key factor to observe will be how effectively Bublik can leverage his serve against Vacherot's return game, as this could set the tone for the match.