Adelaide Australia Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Marton Fucsovics vs Alexander Shevchenko Prediction

Marton Fucsovics

Rank: #54
57%
VS

Alexander Shevchenko

Rank: #106
43%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Marton Fucsovics

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Ranking Trends

Marton Fucsovics

  • Current #54 2026-01-05
  • 3 mo ago #55 2025-10-13
  • 6 mo ago #89 2025-07-14
  • 9 mo ago #90 2025-04-14
  • 12 mo ago #99 2025-01-13

Alexander Shevchenko

  • Current #106 2026-01-05
  • 3 mo ago #91 2025-10-13
  • 6 mo ago #101 2025-07-14
  • 9 mo ago #104 2025-04-14
  • 12 mo ago #77 2025-01-13

Player Metrics

Marton Fucsovics

Form Index: 47.3
ELO Rating: 956.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1563.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 95
Surface Strength:
Hard: 27.8
Clay: 19.9
Grass: 22.6
Serve Rating: 25.1
Return Rating: 72.1

Alexander Shevchenko

Form Index: 63.6
ELO Rating: 648.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1581.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 300
Surface Strength:
Hard: 21.2
Clay: 17.8
Grass: 14.6
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 96.2

Recent Matches

Marton Fucsovics
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ethan Quinn (2-0) hard Adelaide 95 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) hard Brisbane 69 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Stockholm 108 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jesper de Jong (2-0) hard Stockholm 66 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (1-2) hard Shanghai 161 min

Alexander Shevchenko
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Marton Fucsovics
vs
2
Alexander Shevchenko
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 2
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Marton Fucsovics and Alexander Shevchenko in the Round of 16 at the Adelaide tournament promises to be an intriguing contest on hard court. Both players are competing at an ATP 250 event, which adds to the significance of this matchup. Marton Fucsovics is predicted to win the match with a probability of 57.43%, while Alexander Shevchenko has a 42.57% chance. The predicted total number of games played in this match is estimated to be 22.

Match Analysis

Marton Fucsovics, currently ranked 54th, has a form index of 47.31 and an Elo rating of approximately 956. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 95 minutes, indicating he is relatively fresh compared to his opponent. Fucsovics has a surface strength index of 27.84, which is slightly superior to Shevchenko's 21.18. Notably, Fucsovics's mean return index of 72.06 is significantly higher than Shevchenko's 96.19, suggesting that Fucsovics has been more effective in returning serves. On the other hand, Alexander Shevchenko, ranked 106th, boasts a higher form index of 63.56 and an Elo rating of 649, but he comes into this match with a much greater fatigue level of 300 minutes. Shevchenko's mean serve index of 97.43 shows that he excels in serving, which could create pressure on Fucsovics. Analyzing their recent match performances, Fucsovics had a straightforward victory against Ethan Quinn but suffered two losses prior. Shevchenko, conversely, has been on a winning streak, showcasing resilience and form with three consecutive wins in Adelaide.

Final Prediction

Marton Fucsovics holds an edge due to his superior returning capabilities and lower fatigue levels, which may allow him to capitalize on Shevchenko's serve. A key factor to watch will be how well Fucsovics can handle Shevchenko’s powerful serve, as this could dictate the flow of the match and influence the outcome significantly.

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