Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Alexander Shevchenko vs Reilly Opelka Prediction

Alexander Shevchenko

Rank: #98
39%
VS

Reilly Opelka

Rank: #70
61%
Predicted Games Played: 39.0
Predicted Winner: Reilly Opelka

Player Metrics

Alexander Shevchenko

Form Index: 48.0
ELO Rating: 598.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1573.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.3
Clay: 6.3
Grass: 5.8
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 89.3

Reilly Opelka

Form Index: 42.9
ELO Rating: 923.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1653.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 3.6
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 83.7

Recent Matches

Alexander Shevchenko

  • Last Match: vs Elias Ymer (0-2) grass Mallorca 79 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Dusan Lajovic (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Filip Misolic (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Mathys Erhard (2-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Reilly Opelka

  • Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (0-2) grass Eastbourne 86 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs George Loffhagen (2-1) grass Eastbourne 148 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (0-2) grass London 96 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2-0) grass London 89 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 68 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Shevchenko
vs
1
Reilly Opelka
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Alexander Shevchenko and Reilly Opelka in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, taking place on grass, promises to be an intriguing contest. With Opelka favored to win, he holds a 61.48% probability over Shevchenko’s 38.52%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 39.0.

Match Analysis

Alexander Shevchenko currently holds a rank of 98 and has a form index of 47.95, indicating a moderate level of recent performance. His Elo rating stands at 598.07, which reflects his competitive standing. With a surface strength index of 5.84, Shevchenko demonstrates a solid ability on grass, although his mean serve index of 96.74 and return index of 89.26 suggest he may struggle to consistently capitalize on his service games against stronger opponents. Conversely, Reilly Opelka, ranked 70, has a form index of 42.92 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 923.65. His mean serve index of 97.33 provides him with an advantage, especially since the difference between their serve indices exceeds 5 points. Opelka's return index at 83.68 is also lower than Shevchenko’s, but not by as wide a margin. In their recent performances, Shevchenko has faced challenges, losing his last match against Elias Ymer and prior to that, a close contest against Ethan Quinn at Roland Garros. His only recent victory came against Dusan Lajovic, indicating inconsistency. Opelka, on the other hand, has experienced mixed results, winning one match at Eastbourne but losing the other two in his last three outings. Both players enter the match with no cumulative fatigue, which may allow for an intense battle on the grass surface.

Final Prediction

Reilly Opelka's edge in Elo rating and serve index positions him favorably for this matchup. The key factor to watch will be his ability to leverage his serving advantage against Shevchenko, particularly in crucial moments of the match.