Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Semifinals

Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner Prediction

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #3
28%
VS

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #2
72%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Ranking Trends

Alexander Zverev

  • Current Rank: #3 (2025-10-27)
  • 3 Months Ago: #3 (2025-07-28)
  • 6 Months Ago: #2 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #2 (2025-01-27)
  • 12 Months Ago: #3 (2024-10-28)

Jannik Sinner

  • Current Rank: #2 (2025-10-27)
  • 3 Months Ago: #1 (2025-07-28)
  • 6 Months Ago: #1 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #1 (2025-01-27)
  • 12 Months Ago: #1 (2024-10-28)

Player Metrics

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 62.7
ELO Rating: 5630.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1888.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 401.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 50.7
Clay: 53.9
Grass: 59.8
Serve Rating: 98.0
Return Rating: 87.6

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 67.5
ELO Rating: 11095.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2168.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 241.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 96.9
Clay: 97.8
Grass: 98.9
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 89.1

Recent Matches

Alexander Zverev
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Daniil Medvedev (2-1) hard Paris 150 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2-0) hard Paris 96 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2-1) hard Paris 155 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (1-2) hard Vienna 148 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-0) hard Vienna 92 min

Jannik Sinner
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ben Shelton (2-0) hard Paris 69 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Francisco Cerundolo (2-0) hard Paris 85 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Zizou Bergs (2-0) hard Paris 87 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Alexander Zverev (2-1) hard Vienna 148 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alex de Minaur (2-0) hard Vienna 87 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Zverev
vs
3
Jannik Sinner
Hard
0 - 3
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the semifinals of the Paris Masters 1000, Alexander Zverev faces Jannik Sinner on hard courts in France. The analysis heavily favors Sinner, with a predicted probability of 71.88% for victory compared to Zverev's 28.12%. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with a predicted total of 22 games played.

Match Analysis

Jannik Sinner, currently ranked 2nd, boasts a strong form index of 67.53 and an impressive Elo rating of 11095.28. His fatigue level stands at 241 minutes, which is significantly lower than Zverev's 401 minutes, indicating that Sinner may have more energy heading into this match. The surface strength index further highlights Sinner's dominance on hard courts at 96.93, compared to Zverev’s 50.74. It’s notable that Sinner also holds a slight edge in mean serve index (96.13) over Zverev (97.96), but the difference is minimal. However, Sinner's mean return index of 89.09 shows a more pronounced advantage over Zverev’s 87.56, which may be pivotal during rallies. Analyzing their recent performances, Sinner has been in stellar form, winning all three of his last matches in straight sets with relatively short match durations, the longest being only 85 minutes. In contrast, Zverev has also secured victories but faced tougher contests, including a more grueling quarterfinal against Daniil Medvedev that lasted 150 minutes. This could impact Zverev’s performance, given his higher fatigue levels and the taxing nature of his previous matches.

Final Prediction

Jannik Sinner's superior form, energy levels, and recent performance give him a distinct edge heading into this semifinal clash. A key factor to observe will be how effectively Sinner can leverage his return game against Zverev's serve, as this could dictate the tempo and outcome of the match.