Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Semifinals

Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov Prediction

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #3
64%
VS

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #16
36%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Zverev

Ranking Trends

Alexander Zverev

  • Current Rank: #3 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #2 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #2 (2025-01-27)
  • 9 Months Ago: #3 (2024-10-28)
  • 12 Months Ago: #4 (2024-07-29)

Karen Khachanov

  • Current Rank: #16 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #25 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #20 (2025-01-27)
  • 9 Months Ago: #21 (2024-10-28)
  • 12 Months Ago: #21 (2024-07-29)

Player Metrics

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 57.7
ELO Rating: 6108.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1882.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 481.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 55.0
Clay: 53.9
Grass: 59.8
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 87.9

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 69.3
ELO Rating: 1928.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1763.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 414.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.4
Clay: 18.8
Grass: 16.8
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 85.3

Recent Matches

Alexander Zverev
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alexei Popyrin (2-1) hard Toronto 162 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Francisco Cerundolo (2-0) hard Toronto 51 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-1) hard Toronto 166 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Adam Walton (2-0) hard Toronto 102 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Karen Khachanov
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alex Michelsen (2-0) hard Toronto 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Casper Ruud (2-0) hard Toronto 93 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Emilio Nava (2-1) hard Toronto 130 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (2-0) hard Toronto 87 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Alexander Zverev
vs
0
Karen Khachanov
Hard
2 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the semifinals of the Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Alexander Zverev and Karen Khachanov will clash on hard courts. Zverev is the predicted winner with a probability of 64.26%, while Khachanov has a 35.74% chance of victory. The match is expected to feature a total of 23 games.

Match Analysis

Alexander Zverev, currently ranked 3rd, boasts a strong form index of 57.69 and an Elo rating of 6108. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 481 minutes, which could influence his performance. Zverev has a significant advantage in both his surface strength index (55.05) and mean serve index (98.18), surpassing Khachanov in these metrics. In contrast, Khachanov, ranked 16th, has a form index of 69.28 and an Elo rating of 1928. His fatigue is slightly lower at 414 minutes, but his surface strength index (15.35) and mean serve index (95.26) indicate he is at a disadvantage, especially given the more than 5-point gap in serve capabilities. Recent performances also favor Zverev. Over his last three matches in Toronto, he has demonstrated resilience, winning two of them in competitive durations. Notably, he overcame Alexei Popyrin in a three-set battle that lasted 162 minutes. Khachanov has also been impressive, winning all three of his recent matches without dropping a set, including a decisive victory against Alex Michelsen. However, Zverev's stronger serve and return indices suggest he may be better equipped to handle the pressure in this semifinal.

Final Prediction

Zverev's edge stems from his superior serve and return statistics, which are critical factors on hard courts. As the match unfolds, a pivotal aspect to watch will be Zverev's ability to dominate Khachanov’s service games, potentially leading to crucial breaks and momentum shifts.