Karen Khachanov

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1865 · #13 Hard #19 Clay #39 Grass #16 Last match: Oct 19, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

312-224 58.2% in 536 matches

Clay 83-59
Grass 36-22
Hard 193-143

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 47 26-21 1732 1884 1865
2025 55 31-24 1741 1965 1757
2024 56 35-21 1752 1935 1895
2023 49 32-17 1699 1942 1833
2022 57 34-23 1673 1969 1922
2021 48 27-21 1724 1853 1790
2020 27 14-13 1684 1774 1699
2019 49 26-23 1784 1885 1762
2018 61 40-21 1603 2083 2083
2017 49 23-26 1586 1847 1614
2016 35 23-12 1538 1813 1777
2015 3 1-2 1512 1525 1490

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Oct 19, 2026 Almaty · Hard Rei Sakamoto W 2-0
Oct 07, 2026 Shanghai · Hard Alex de Minaur L 0-2
Adrian Mannarino W 2-0
Arthur Fery W 2-1
Sep 30, 2026 Beijing · Hard Hubert Hurkacz L 0-2
Alex Molcan W 2-0
Felix Auger-Aliassime W 2-0
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Alexander Zverev L 0-3
Alexander Blockx W 2-0
Learner Tien W 3-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Karen Khachanov?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 7.1 actual vs 6.9 projected
2.84 our average miss per match
3.64 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+22% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 50 of the 55 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Karen Khachanov follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 47 26-21 55.3% 21 vs 16.5 exp On serve
2025 55 31-24 67.3% 18 vs 21.4 exp On serve
2024 bt 56 35-21 69.6% 17 vs 18.2 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Karen Khachanov's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/karen-khachanov">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)