Karen Khachanov

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1709 · #45 Hard #61 Clay #39 Grass #16 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

304-221 57.9% in 525 matches

Clay 83-59
Grass 36-22
Hard 185-140

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 36 18-18 1732 1767 1709
2025 55 31-24 1741 1965 1757
2024 56 35-21 1752 1935 1895
2023 49 32-17 1699 1942 1833
2022 57 34-23 1673 1969 1922
2021 48 27-21 1724 1853 1790
2020 27 14-13 1684 1774 1699
2019 49 26-23 1784 1885 1762
2018 61 40-21 1603 2083 2083
2017 49 23-26 1586 1847 1614
2016 35 23-12 1538 1813 1777
2015 3 1-2 1512 1525 1490

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Felix Auger-Aliassime W 3-1
Roman Andres Burruchaga W 3-0
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Aleksandar Kovacevic L 1-2
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Terence Atmane L 0-2
Jul 27, 2026 Los Cabos · Hard Bernard Tomic L 0-2
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Flavio Cobolli L 2-3
Yannick Hanfmann W 3-0
Billy Harris W 3-1
Jun 15, 2026 Halle · Grass Ethan Quinn L 1-2
May 24, 2026 Roland Garros · Clay Jesper de Jong L 2-3

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Karen Khachanov?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 7.1 actual vs 6.9 projected
2.84 our average miss per match
3.64 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+22% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 50 of the 55 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Karen Khachanov follow the script?

Wild card · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 36 18-18 52.8% 17 vs 12.5 exp Wild card
2025 55 31-24 67.3% 18 vs 21.4 exp On serve
2024 bt 56 35-21 69.6% 17 vs 18.2 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Karen Khachanov's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/karen-khachanov">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)