Auckland New Zealand Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Giron Prediction

Alexandre Muller

Rank: #52
60%
VS

Marcos Giron

Rank: #64
40%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexandre Muller

Player Metrics

Alexandre Muller

Form Index: 39.2
ELO Rating: 972.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1601.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 26.9
Clay: 31.6
Grass: 21.7
Serve Rating: 51.0
Return Rating: 71.6

Marcos Giron

Form Index: 64.5
ELO Rating: 880.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1619.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.1
Clay: 25.2
Grass: 24.9
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 94.6

Recent Matches

Alexandre Muller

  • Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (0-2) hard Hong Kong 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-0) hard Hong Kong 77 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (1-2) hard Paris 184 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (2-0) hard Paris 91 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (0-2) hard Basel 67 min

Marcos Giron

  • Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (1-2) hard Hong Kong 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Michael Mmoh (2-0) hard Hong Kong 49 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (2-0) hard Hong Kong 96 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (2-0) hard Hong Kong 59 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (0-2) hard Paris 96 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexandre Muller
vs
1
Marcos Giron
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Auckland tournament, Alexandre Muller is set to face Marcos Giron on hard courts in New Zealand. With a predicted win probability of 60.27% for Muller compared to 39.73% for Giron, the anticipated total number of games is around 23.0.

Match Analysis

Alexandre Muller currently holds the 52nd rank with a form index of 39.21, while Marcos Giron is ranked 64th with a higher form index of 64.49. Despite Giron's slightly better recent form, Muller's Elo rating of 972.45 significantly surpasses Giron's rating of 880.89, indicating a stronger overall performance capability. Both players have zero cumulative fatigue, which means they enter the match fresh. Notably, Muller has a mean serve index of 51.05, while Giron excels with a mean serve index of 97.78, indicating a considerable advantage in serving strength of over 5 points in favor of Giron. However, Muller's mean return index of 71.65 is significantly superior to Giron's 94.58, highlighting his ability to return serves effectively. In their last three matches, Muller has faced mixed results, losing to Giron in their most recent encounter in Hong Kong. Prior to that, he secured a victory against Miomir Kecmanovic but lost to Felix Auger-Aliassime. Conversely, Giron has also had a challenging stretch, losing his last match to Alexander Bublik but previously defeating Michael Mmoh convincingly. Their recent head-to-head matchup in Hong Kong saw Giron triumph without dropping a set, which may influence Muller's confidence in this rematch.

Final Prediction

Muller holds an edge due to his superior return capabilities, which may neutralize Giron's serving strength. A key factor to monitor during the match will be how well Muller can handle Giron's serve and whether he can leverage his return game to gain critical advantages.