Bastad
Sweden
Clay
Atp 250
Round of 32
Andrea Pellegrino vs Jaime Faria Prediction
Andrea Pellegrino
Rank: #139
32%
VS
Jaime Faria
Rank: #116
68%
Predicted Games Played:
22.0
Predicted Winner:
Jaime Faria
Ranking Trends
Andrea Pellegrino
- Current Rank: #139 (2025-06-30)
- 3 Months Ago: #231 (2025-04-14)
- 6 Months Ago: #262 (2025-01-13)
- 9 Months Ago: #220 (2024-10-14)
- 12 Months Ago: #153 (2024-07-15)
Jaime Faria
- Current Rank: #116 (2025-06-30)
- 3 Months Ago: #96 (2025-04-14)
- 6 Months Ago: #125 (2025-01-13)
- 9 Months Ago: #147 (2024-10-14)
- 12 Months Ago: #170 (2024-07-15)
Player Metrics
Andrea Pellegrino
Form Index:
36.5
ELO Rating:
226.0
Glicko2 Rating:
1543.8
Current Fatigue (minutes):
218.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
1.3
Clay:
2.4
Grass:
1.4
Serve Rating:
96.0
Return Rating:
89.5
Jaime Faria
Form Index:
71.0
ELO Rating:
621.5
Glicko2 Rating:
1546.6
Current Fatigue (minutes):
0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
5.0
Clay:
4.5
Grass:
4.4
Serve Rating:
94.2
Return Rating:
85.5
Recent Matches
Andrea Pellegrino
- Last Match: vs Timofey Skatov (2-0) clay Bastad 80 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Daniel Michalski (2-1) clay Bastad 138 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Titouan Droguet (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Diego Schwartzman (0-2) hard Us Open 99 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (0-2) clay Bastad 91 min
Jaime Faria
- Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Kyrian Jacquet (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Marco Trungelliti (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Zsombor Piros (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)
0
Andrea Pellegrino
vs
0
Jaime Faria
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming match between Andrea Pellegrino and Jaime Faria at the ATP 250 tournament in Båstad, Sweden, promises to be an intriguing contest on clay. With both players vying for a place in the Round of 16, Jaime Faria is predicted to emerge victorious, holding a win probability of 67.86% compared to Andrea Pellegrino's 32.14%. The anticipated total number of games played is projected at 22.
Match Analysis
Currently ranked 139, Andrea Pellegrino has a form index of 36.48 and an Elo rating of 226.01. His cumulative fatigue stands at 218 minutes, indicating a considerable exertion in the tournament so far. Pellegrino's surface strength index is 2.44, with a mean serve index of 96.00 and a mean return index of 89.48. Comparatively, Jaime Faria, ranked 116, boasts a much higher form index of 71.03 and an Elo rating of 621.46. Faria has no reported fatigue from this tournament, with a surface strength index of 4.52. Notably, Faria’s mean serve index of 94.17 is only slightly lower than Pellegrino’s, while his mean return index of 85.50 falls short by just under 5 points.
In their recent performances, Pellegrino has shown resilience, winning two matches in Båstad against Timofey Skatov and Daniel Michalski, both on clay, after a first-round exit at Wimbledon. In contrast, Jaime Faria's recent performances at Wimbledon saw him win one match against Kyrian Jacquet and lose two, including a tough match against Lorenzo Sonego. Although Faria has faced challenges recently, his overall form and lack of fatigue give him a competitive edge.
Final Prediction
Jaime Faria's superior form index and lower fatigue level position him favorably against Andrea Pellegrino. The key factor to watch will be Faria's ability to capitalize on Pellegrino's fatigue and maintain consistency on serve and return, as these elements will likely dictate the flow of the match.