Los Cabos Mexico Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Andrey Rublev vs Emilio Nava Prediction

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #14
74%
VS

Emilio Nava

Rank: #119
26%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

Player Metrics

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 72.8
ELO Rating: 2190.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1894.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 74.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.4
Clay: 22.0
Grass: 26.9
Serve Rating: 97.9
Return Rating: 87.5

Emilio Nava

Form Index: 55.1
ELO Rating: 379.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1544.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 283.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.2
Clay: 2.6
Grass: 2.3
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 85.8

Recent Matches

Andrey Rublev

  • Last Match: vs Alex Hernandez (2-0) hard Los Cabos 74 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lloyd Harris (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Emilio Nava

  • Last Match: vs Yunchaokete Bu (2-1) hard Los Cabos 182 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-0) hard Los Cabos 101 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Dominic Stricker (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Mitchell Krueger (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Holger Rune (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Andrey Rublev
vs
0
Emilio Nava
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the los Cabos tournament in Mexico, Andrey Rublev faces off against Emilio Nava on hard court. Given Rublev's strong performance indicators, he is the predicted winner with a probability of 73.62%, while Nava's chances stand at 26.38%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is estimated at 22.

Match Analysis

Andrey Rublev, currently ranked 14th, boasts a solid form index of 72.82 and an Elo rating of 2189.98, demonstrating his competitive edge. With a cumulative fatigue of 74 minutes, his ability to perform remains robust. His surface strength index of 17.38 indicates he is well-suited for hard courts. In contrast, Emilio Nava, ranked 119th, has a lower form index of 55.10 and an Elo rating of 379.93, revealing a significant disparity in experience and current form. Nava's fatigue level is quite high at 283 minutes, which could hinder his performance. Rublev's mean serve index (97.85) surpasses Nava's (95.83) by more than 5 points, indicating a potential advantage in serving power. Additionally, Rublev's mean return index (87.49) is also superior to Nava's (85.78) by around 2 points, providing him with an edge in returning serves. In their recent matches, Rublev has shown a mixed bag of results, winning against Alex Hernandez in straight sets after a tough loss to Carlos Alcaraz at Wimbledon. His earlier victory against Adrian Mannarino showcased his resilience. Meanwhile, Emilio Nava has secured wins against Yunchaokete Bu and Aleksandar Vukic but faced defeat against Dominic Stricker in his recent outings. While Nava has demonstrated some form, his overall performance and the level of competition he has faced do not match Rublev's.

Final Prediction

Rublev's superior ranking, form, and indices suggest he has the upper hand in this matchup against Nava. A crucial factor to watch will be Rublev’s serving effectiveness, as his ability to dominate on his serve could set the tone for the match.