James Duckworth vs Arthur Fery: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model’s edge for Fery comes mainly from recent record by level, with additional weight from age, surface fit, and overall record and opposition quality. Those factors are visible in the raw numbers. Fery sits 37 in the rankings with an Elo of 1847 and a strong form index of 74.86. Duckworth is ranked 86 with a lower Elo of 1636 and a form index of 56.78, though the model still gives Duckworth a modest boost from recent form because he has won three tough matches at this event, including a 150 minute quarterfinal. Age also favors Fery in the engine, and his slightly higher surface strength index (25.90 versus 21.63) nudges the prediction toward him on hard courts. Compare other match variables. Fatigue is meaningfully different: Duckworth has logged 437 minutes in this tournament versus Fery’s 301 minutes. That extra time on court could matter late in rallies or in decisive games. Serve and return indices are close enough that neither player carries a clear serving edge on paper. Over the last three matches both men are unbeaten in Winston-Salem. Duckworth’s wins include two straight-sets and one three-set effort. Fery has progressed with two straight-set wins and a three-set win, generally in shorter matches than Duckworth’s longest outing.