Almaty Kazakhstan Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Beibit Zhukayev vs Alex Michelsen Prediction

Beibit Zhukayev

Rank: #215
31%
VS

Alex Michelsen

Rank: #34
69%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alex Michelsen

Player Metrics

Beibit Zhukayev

Form Index: 40.7
ELO Rating: 330.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1534.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.8
Clay: 1.8
Grass: 3.2
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 83.7

Alex Michelsen

Form Index: 19.0
ELO Rating: 1122.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1591.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.7
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 9.7
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 88.7

Recent Matches

Beibit Zhukayev

  • Last Match: vs Tristan Schoolkate (0-2) hard Shanghai 125 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Colton Smith (2-0) hard Shanghai 115 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Nishesh Basavareddy (0-2) hard Hangzhou 88 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Zachary Svajda (0-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jack Pinnington Jones (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min

Alex Michelsen

  • Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (0-2) hard Shanghai 106 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (0-2) hard Tokio 82 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Cincinnati 93 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (2-1) hard Cincinnati 146 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Beibit Zhukayev
vs
0
Alex Michelsen
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Beibit Zhukayev and Alex Michelsen is set to take place in the Round of 32 at the ATP 250 tournament in Almaty, Kazakhstan, on a hard surface. Alex Michelsen is predicted to win with a probability of 69.33%, while Beibit Zhukayev has a 30.67% chance of victory. The expected total number of games played is 23.

Match Analysis

Beibit Zhukayev, currently ranked 215, has a form index of 40.70 and an Elo rating of 330.33. His fatigue level is at 0, indicating he has not spent significant time on court in this tournament. His surface strength index of 3.78 suggests he may struggle on hard courts. In contrast, Alex Michelsen holds a much higher rank of 34, an Elo rating of 1122.74, and a form index of 18.96, indicating his recent performance has been less consistent. Michelsen also maintains a surface strength index of 9.73, showcasing his capability on hard courts. Notably, Michelsen's mean serve index of 95.95 is slightly lower than Zhukayev's 97.52, but his mean return index of 88.67 significantly surpasses Zhukayev's 83.66, giving him a substantial advantage in returning serves. When reviewing their recent performances, Zhukayev has won one of his last three matches, struggling against Tristan Schoolkate in his most recent outing. Conversely, Michelsen has also lost his last three matches, but the level of competition he faced, including opponents like Arthur Rinderknech, has been higher, which may be indicative of his potential to bounce back against lower-ranked players like Zhukayev.

Final Prediction

Alex Michelsen's superior ranking, combined with his strong return capabilities and recent experience against tougher opponents, gives him a significant edge in this matchup. A key factor to monitor will be the effectiveness of Michelsen’s return game, which could dictate the flow of the match.