Brussels Belgium Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Botic van de Zandschulp vs Clement Chidekh Prediction

Botic van de Zandschulp

Rank: #38
75%
VS

Clement Chidekh

Rank: #152
25%
Expected Total Games: 25.8
Predicted Winner: Botic van de Zandschulp

Why the Model Favors Botic van de Zandschulp

The factors that drove this prediction, measured in win-probability points.

Recent record by level +12.0 Botic van de Zandschulp
Recent form +6.7 Botic van de Zandschulp
Overall strength +5.0 Botic van de Zandschulp
Serve & return game +2.6 Clement Chidekh
Overall record & opposition quality +2.4 Botic van de Zandschulp

Starting from an even matchup, these factors move the model to 75% for Botic van de Zandschulp. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →

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Ranking Trends

Botic van de Zandschulp

  • Current #38 2026-10-19
  • 3 mo ago #55 2026-07-20
  • 6 mo ago #52 2026-04-20
  • 9 mo ago #75 2026-01-19
  • 12 mo ago #82 2025-10-20

Clement Chidekh

  • Current #152 2026-10-19
  • 3 mo ago #208 2026-07-20
  • 6 mo ago #179 2026-04-20
  • 9 mo ago #189 2026-01-19
  • 12 mo ago #240 2025-10-20

Player Metrics

Botic van de Zandschulp

Form Index: 50.9
ELO Rating: 1856.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1781.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 39.2
Clay: 15.4
Grass: 10.1
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 90.5

Clement Chidekh

Form Index: 36.2
ELO Rating: 1496.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1529.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 171.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.7
Clay: 8.3
Grass: 2.4
Serve Rating: 93.5
Return Rating: 90.7

Recent Matches

Botic van de Zandschulp
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

Clement Chidekh
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Gauthier Onclin (2-0) hard Brussels 99 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly (2-0) hard Brussels 72 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Gea (1-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Federico Coria (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Aziz Dougaz (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Botic van de Zandschulp
vs
0
Clement Chidekh
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

Botic van de Zandschulp is favoured at 75% to Clement Chidekh’s 25%, with 25.8 games expected. The forecast gives van de Zandschulp a clear advantage, though Chidekh has a credible counter in his recent results and return game.

Match Analysis

The biggest separation is in level and overall strength: van de Zandschulp is ranked 38th, compared with Chidekh at 152nd. He has also recently beaten Arthur Fils and Alex Michelsen on hard courts in Shanghai, although his latest match ended in defeat to Rafael Jodar. Chidekh has won both of his Brussels matches in straight sets, against Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Gauthier Onclin. But those wins have taken 171 minutes of court time, while van de Zandschulp has none recorded at this tournament. Chidekh’s slightly better return profile offers a counterweight to the Dutchman’s stronger serve.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 25.8 Most likely outcome: 25 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Games Spread Predictions

📈
Expected Games Spread (Botic van de Zandschulp - Clement Chidekh) +2.6 Most likely spread: +2 (Botic van de Zandschulp wins 2 more games)

📊 Games Spread Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each games spread outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of spread ≤ X

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

Van de Zandschulp is projected for 6.6 aces and 3.7 double faults, while Chidekh is projected for 3.1 aces and 2.8 double faults. Van de Zandschulp’s stronger serve profile helps explain the ace gap, though both players are expected to give away points with double faults.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 9.6 Most likely: 7 aces Per player: Botic van de Zandschulp 6.6 + Clement Chidekh 3.1
❌
Expected Total Double Faults 6.4 Most likely: 5 double faults Per player: Botic van de Zandschulp 3.7 + Clement Chidekh 2.8

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

🎯 Aces by Player

Botic van de Zandschulp

Expected 6.6 aces

Clement Chidekh

Expected 3.1 aces

❌ Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

❌ Double Faults by Player

Botic van de Zandschulp

Expected 3.7 double faults

Clement Chidekh

Expected 2.8 double faults

Match Format Predictions

Tiebreak Likelihood

Probability that any tiebreak is played in this match

31.3% Predicted: No tiebreak

Exact Score Distribution BO3

Probability of each set-by-set outcome (Botic van de Zandschulp's perspective)

2-0 Most likely set score (46.1%)
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves

Final Prediction

Chidekh’s return is the specific matchup factor that could shift the forecast. If he uses it to put sustained pressure on van de Zandschulp’s serve, his upset chances rise.

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