Arthur Fils

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1938 · #7 Hard #9 Clay #7 Grass #75 Last match: Oct 07, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

123-66 65.1% in 189 matches

Clay 40-22
Grass 11-6
Hard 72-38

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 50 37-13 1621 2044 1938
2025 32 21-11 1736 1907 1871
2024 59 36-23 1616 1887 1858
2023 42 27-15 1521 1780 1701
2022 3 1-2 1505 1506 1492
2021 3 1-2 1500 1556 1497

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Oct 07, 2026 Shanghai · Hard Botic van de Zandschulp L 0-2
Pavel Kotov W 2-0
Sep 30, 2026 Tokio · Hard Valentin Vacherot L 1-2
Frances Tiafoe W 2-0
Luca Van Assche W 2-0
Kamil Majchrzak W 2-1
Martin Damm W 2-1
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Stefanos Tsitsipas L 1-3
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Frances Tiafoe W 2-1
Flavio Cobolli W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Arthur Fils?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 4.8 actual vs 6.2 projected
3.29 our average miss per match
3.39 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+3% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 27 of the 32 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Arthur Fils follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 48 35-13 72.9% 13 vs 16.9 exp On serve
2025 32 21-11 65.6% 11 vs 12.4 exp On serve
2024 bt 59 36-23 57.6% 25 vs 20.2 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Arthur Fils's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The ATP ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/arthur-fils">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)