Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Botic van de Zandschulp vs Holger Rune Prediction

Botic van de Zandschulp

Rank: #92
34%
VS

Holger Rune

Rank: #9
66%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Holger Rune

Player Metrics

Botic van de Zandschulp

Form Index: 61.1
ELO Rating: 876.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1602.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.1
Clay: 5.8
Grass: 6.4
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 88.3

Holger Rune

Form Index: 53.1
ELO Rating: 2050.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1822.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.8
Clay: 20.6
Grass: 21.9
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 84.9

Recent Matches

Botic van de Zandschulp

  • Last Match: vs Yunchaokete Bu (2-1) hard Winston Salem 158 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Sebastian Baez (1-1) hard Winston Salem 109 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) hard Winston Salem 92 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Adam Walton (2-1) hard Winston Salem 149 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 82 min

Holger Rune

  • Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (0-2) hard Cincinnati 73 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (2-0) hard Cincinnati 72 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (2-0) hard Cincinnati 93 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Roman Safiullin (2-0) hard Cincinnati 118 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (1-2) hard Toronto 123 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Botic van de Zandschulp
vs
0
Holger Rune
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the 2025 US Open, Botic van de Zandschulp faces Holger Rune on hard courts in New York City. With Rune being the higher-ranked player at 9 compared to van de Zandschulp's 92, the prediction favors Rune with a win probability of 66.34%, while van de Zandschulp has a 33.66% chance. The anticipated total number of games played is 36.

Match Analysis

Botic van de Zandschulp comes into this match with a rank of 92 and a form index of 61.13, indicating a moderate level of recent performance. His Elo rating stands at 876.91, a significant difference from Rune's 2050.19, which reflects Rune's elite status in the sport. Notably, van de Zandschulp's surface strength index is at 9.07, while Rune boasts a much higher 16.81, indicating Rune's superior adaptation to hard surfaces. Furthermore, the difference in their mean serve index is marginal, with van de Zandschulp at 96.37 and Rune at 95.56. However, van de Zandschulp's mean return index of 88.33 is considerably better than Rune’s 84.91, showcasing a potential area of strength for him. Recent performances show that van de Zandschulp has won two out of his last three matches, displaying resilience, particularly in his last win against Yunchaokete Bu in Winston-Salem. Rune, on the other hand, has experienced a mixed bag, losing his last match against Terence Atmane but previously securing victories against Frances Tiafoe and Alex Michelsen. Despite this inconsistency, Rune's overall higher ranking and recent form indicate a likely advantage.

Final Prediction

Holger Rune's edge stems from his higher rank, superior Elo rating, and a significantly better surface strength index, positioning him as the favorite in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how well van de Zandschulp can capitalize on his return game, which may provide him with opportunities to challenge Rune's serve.