Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Coleman Wong vs Ugo Humbert Prediction

Coleman Wong

Rank: #168
34%
VS

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #23
66%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Ugo Humbert

Player Metrics

Coleman Wong

Form Index: 44.3
ELO Rating: 485.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1520.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 253.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.0
Clay: 2.1
Grass: 2.3
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 84.0

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 31.8
ELO Rating: 1660.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1662.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.5
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 17.7
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 84.6

Recent Matches

Coleman Wong

  • Last Match: vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-0) hard Cincinnati 55 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Shintaro Mochizuki (2-0) hard Cincinnati 121 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (2-0) hard Cincinnati 77 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tomas Barrios Vera (0-2) hard Toronto 70 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Facundo Bagnis (1-2) clay Gstaad 157 min

Ugo Humbert

  • Last Match: vs Gael Monfils (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (1-2) grass Eastbourne 167 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Billy Harris (2-0) grass Eastbourne 101 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-0) grass Eastbourne 100 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Denis Shapovalov (1-2) grass Halle 148 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Coleman Wong
vs
0
Ugo Humbert
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 tournament, Coleman Wong faces Ugo Humbert on hard courts in Ohio. The prediction favors Ugo Humbert, with a win probability of 66.09%, compared to Coleman Wong's 33.91%. The match is expected to feature a total of around 24 games.

Match Analysis

Coleman Wong currently holds a rank of 168 and has a form index of 44.32, indicating a moderate recent performance. His Elo rating is significantly lower at 485.82, and he enters the match with a cumulative fatigue of 253 minutes from earlier rounds. His surface strength index is 5.03, which is relatively low. In contrast, Ugo Humbert is ranked 23 with a form index of 31.81, suggesting a dip in form despite his higher ranking. Humbert's Elo rating stands at an impressive 1660.24, and he has the advantage of zero cumulative fatigue, having played fewer matches in the current tournament. His surface strength index of 17.55 complements his game on hard courts. The mean serve index shows a slight advantage for Wong, who has a score of 96.28 compared to Humbert's 95.53. However, the mean return index reveals a more significant disparity, with Humbert at 84.58 and Wong at 84.00, resulting in a difference of 0.58 points. In their recent match performances, Wong has shown strong form, winning all three of his last matches in straight sets. Conversely, Humbert's last three matches include a mix of results, with one notable loss in a tightly contested five-set match at Wimbledon, followed by a loss against Brooksby in Eastbourne.

Final Prediction

Ugo Humbert's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and lack of recent fatigue give him a notable edge in this matchup. A critical factor to observe will be how Humbert handles Wong's serve, as both players possess solid serving abilities, but Humbert's returning skills might be pivotal in determining the match's outcome.