Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Moutet arrives as the higher-ranked player (No. 30) with an Elo of 1651.2 and a high mean serve index (95.2) and return index (93.0), reflecting his quality on both serve and return. His proprietary form index sits at 33.18, and he shows no accumulated fatigue in this event. Surface strength for Moutet is moderate (19.56). By contrast, Llamas Ruiz is ranked 139 with an Elo of 1619.5 and a stronger recent form index (64.35). His surface strength is a touch higher (23.76), and his serve and return indices (93.45 and 88.16) indicate a capable all-court baseline game but slightly lower return numbers than Moutet. The fatigue gap is notable: Llamas has logged 383 minutes on court in Rome, while Moutet is fresh, which could become decisive in extended rallies. Over their last three matches, Moutet has one win and two straight-set losses on clay (a win in Barcelona followed by defeats in Barcelona and Madrid), with match durations around 100–111 minutes. Llamas comes in with three straight wins at Rome, each three-set affairs (115–150 minutes), showing sustained match toughness but also accumulating time on court. Those recent results point to Llamas carrying momentum but also wear, whereas Moutet’s freshness and higher return metrics give him a marginal edge.