Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 128

Rinky Hijikata vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

Rinky Hijikata

Rank: #82
41%
VS

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #83
59%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Corentin Moutet

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Ranking Trends

Rinky Hijikata

  • Current #82 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #73 2025-02-03
  • 6 mo ago #73 2024-11-04
  • 9 mo ago #74 2024-08-05
  • 12 mo ago #79 2024-05-06

Corentin Moutet

  • Current #83 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #65 2025-02-03
  • 6 mo ago #66 2024-11-04
  • 9 mo ago #67 2024-08-05
  • 12 mo ago #83 2024-05-06

Player Metrics

Rinky Hijikata

Form Index: 28.7
ELO Rating: 686.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1555.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 5.3
Grass: 7.6
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 86.1

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 27.5
ELO Rating: 868.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1542.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.0
Clay: 8.1
Grass: 7.0
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 89.1

Recent Matches

Rinky Hijikata
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

Corentin Moutet
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Rinky Hijikata
vs
0
Corentin Moutet
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Rome, Rinky Hijikata faces Corentin Moutet on clay. The prediction favors Moutet, with a probability of winning at 58.61% compared to Hijikata's 41.39%. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.

Match Analysis

Both players sit closely ranked, with Hijikata at 82 and Moutet at 83, indicating a competitive matchup. Hijikata possesses a slightly higher form index (28.73) compared to Moutet (27.52), yet Moutet's Elo rating (868.18) significantly surpasses Hijikata’s (686.21), showcasing his overall experience and capability on the court. Both players have not accumulated any fatigue from the current tournament, presenting a fresh start. The surface strength index favors Moutet (8.05) over Hijikata (5.34), indicating Moutet's adaptability and skill on clay courts. Examining their recent performances, Hijikata has had a mixed run, winning 1 out of his last 3 matches, with his sole victory against Lloyd Harris. Conversely, Moutet has struggled as well, losing all three of his most recent encounters. Despite these setbacks, Moutet's match durations have generally been shorter, suggesting he may conserve energy better, which could be crucial in a longer match.

Final Prediction

Corentin Moutet holds an edge due to his superior Elo rating and greater surface strength, which suggests he is better equipped for the challenges of clay. A key factor to observe will be Moutet’s return index, which is notably higher than Hijikata’s, potentially allowing him to capitalize on Hijikata's serves effectively.

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