Beijing China Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Corentin Moutet vs Tallon Griekspoor Prediction

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #39
48%
VS

Tallon Griekspoor

Rank: #31
52%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Tallon Griekspoor

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Ranking Trends

Corentin Moutet

  • Current #39 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #83 2025-06-23
  • 6 mo ago #76 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #70 2024-12-23
  • 12 mo ago #72 2024-09-30

Tallon Griekspoor

  • Current #31 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #34 2025-06-23
  • 6 mo ago #34 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #40 2024-12-23
  • 12 mo ago #40 2024-09-30

Player Metrics

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 43.1
ELO Rating: 1176.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1628.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.0
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.3
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 88.6

Tallon Griekspoor

Form Index: 10.7
ELO Rating: 1111.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1672.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 10.5
Grass: 10.1
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 85.0

Recent Matches

Corentin Moutet
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

Tallon Griekspoor
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Corentin Moutet
vs
1
Tallon Griekspoor
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Beijing tournament, Corentin Moutet faces Tallon Griekspoor on hard courts in China. The prediction favors Griekspoor, with a 52.06% probability of winning compared to Moutet's 47.94%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Corentin Moutet, currently ranked 39, has a form index of 43.07 and an Elo rating of 1176.43. He exhibits a surface strength index of 9.02, which indicates a moderate capability on hard courts. Moutet's mean serve index stands at 96.28, while his mean return index is 88.56. Tallon Griekspoor, ranked 31, has a lower form index of 10.74 and an Elo rating of 1111.20, suggesting a recent struggle in form. However, Griekspoor has a stronger surface strength index of 11.78 and a slightly superior mean serve index of 96.43, while his mean return index is at 85.00. The difference in their serve indices is minimal, but Moutet does hold a notable edge in return capabilities. Recent performances show that Moutet’s last three matches include two wins, demonstrating resilience, although he lost his most recent match against Valentin Royer. Griekspoor, on the other hand, has lost all three of his last matches, indicating potential mental and physical fatigue going into this match. His last outing against Taro Daniel also ended in defeat.

Final Prediction

Tallon Griekspoor's slight edge in both surface strength and serve capability, combined with Moutet's recent loss, gives him a favorable position heading into this encounter. One key factor to monitor will be Moutet's return game, as his ability to capitalize on Griekspoor's serve could prove crucial in determining the outcome of the match.

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