Brussels Belgium Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Daniel Altmaier vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Prediction

Daniel Altmaier

Rank: #49
68%
VS

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Rank: #252
32%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Daniel Altmaier

Ranking Trends

Daniel Altmaier

  • Current Rank: #49 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #61 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #68 (2025-04-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #101 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #84 (2024-10-14)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

  • Current Rank: #252 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #467 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #1000 (None)
  • 9 Months Ago: #797 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #869 (2024-10-14)

Player Metrics

Daniel Altmaier

Form Index: 39.5
ELO Rating: 982.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1592.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.3
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 5.4
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 87.4

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Form Index: 53.9
ELO Rating: 123.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1515.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 220.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.5
Clay: 0.3
Grass: 0.4
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 87.9

Recent Matches

Daniel Altmaier
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) hard Shanghai 98 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Tristan Schoolkate (2-0) hard Shanghai 82 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Aleksandar Vukic (0-2) hard Tokio 83 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Denis Shapovalov (2-0) hard Tokio 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Valentin Royer (2-0) hard Brussels 128 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Marco Trungelliti (2-0) hard Brussels 92 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Daniel Altmaier (0-2) hard Brussels 77 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (2-0) hard Brussels 101 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (2-0) hard Brussels 96 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Daniel Altmaier
vs
0
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 32 match between Daniel Altmaier and Gilles Arnaud Bailly at the Brussels tournament promises to be an intriguing contest on hard courts. With Daniel Altmaier ranked 49th and coming in with a probability of winning set at 67.92%, he is favored to advance against the 252nd-ranked Bailly, who has a 32.08% chance of victory. Analysts predict a total of 22 games will be played in this matchup.

Match Analysis

Daniel Altmaier enters this match with a solid form index of 39.48 and an Elo rating of 982.81, reflecting his competitive edge over Bailly, who has a form index of 53.87 and an Elo rating of just 123.91. Notably, Altmaier also enjoys a significant advantage in surface strength with an index of 8.26, compared to Bailly's 1.48. Both players have similar mean serve indices (97.09 for Altmaier and 97.15 for Bailly), but Altmaier's mean return index of 87.42 gives him a slight edge over Bailly's 87.95, although the difference is marginal. Bailly's cumulative fatigue of 220 minutes from earlier matches is a concern, especially as he faces a player of Altmaier's caliber. In their recent performances, Altmaier has faced mixed results, losing his last match against Jannik Sinner but securing a win against Tristan Schoolkate prior. Conversely, Bailly has been in good form, winning his last two matches convincingly against lower-ranked opponents, although he previously lost to Altmaier in their last encounter. This inconsistency in performance could play a critical role in the upcoming match.

Final Prediction

Daniel Altmaier is expected to have the upper hand due to his superior ranking, surface strength, and recent match dynamics. The key factor to watch will be how Bailly copes with his fatigue and whether he can maintain the momentum from his recent victories against stronger competition.