Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Daniel Evans vs Jay Clarke Prediction

Daniel Evans

Rank: #154
66%
VS

Jay Clarke

Rank: #196
34%
Expected Total Games: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Daniel Evans

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Ranking Trends

Daniel Evans

  • Current #154 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #204 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #164 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #170 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #60 2024-07-01

Jay Clarke

  • Current #196 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #277 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #264 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #266 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #321 2024-07-01

Player Metrics

Daniel Evans

Form Index: 45.8
ELO Rating: 542.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1609.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.4
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 4.9
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 86.3

Jay Clarke

Form Index: 25.2
ELO Rating: 183.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1506.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.8
Clay: 1.8
Grass: 2.1
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 81.2

Recent Matches

Daniel Evans
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

Jay Clarke
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Aleksandar Vukic (0-2) grass Eastbourne 64 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Bolt (0-2) grass London 72 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Quentin Halys (1-2) grass Wimbledon 92 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Diego Schwartzman (2-0) grass Wimbledon 91 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs None (0-0) None None 0 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Daniel Evans
vs
0
Jay Clarke
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Daniel Evans and Jay Clarke is set to take place at Wimbledon, one of the most prestigious Grand Slam tournaments, held on grass courts in Great Britain during the Round of 128 phase. Daniel Evans is predicted to win with a probability of 66.18%, while Jay Clarke has a 33.82% chance of victory. The expected total number of games in this match is projected to be 36.

Match Analysis

Daniel Evans, ranked 154, showcases a solid form index of 45.81, paired with an Elo rating of 542.26. His fatigue level is currently at 0.0, indicating he is well-rested for this match. Evans also boasts a surface strength index of 4.95, which reflects his capability on grass. Notably, his mean serve index of 96.84 is significantly higher than Jay Clarke's mean serve index of 95.79, although the difference is marginal. Evans has a superior mean return index of 86.28 compared to Clarke's 81.24, a gap that could prove crucial during their exchanges. In terms of recent performances, Evans has had a mixed bag in his last three matches, with one win and two losses. He recently lost to Jenson Brooksby but previously secured victories against Tommy Paul and Miomir Kecmanovic. Clarke, on the other hand, has struggled, losing all three of his last matches without winning a set. His lack of recent success may impact his confidence heading into this critical encounter.

Final Prediction

Daniel Evans holds a definitive edge due to his higher ranking, better form index, and superior performance metrics on grass. A key factor to monitor will be Evans' serve and return game, as his ability to capitalize on Clarke's weaknesses could dictate the flow of the match.

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