Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Fabian Marozsan vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction

Fabian Marozsan

Rank: #54
45%
VS

Gabriel Diallo

Rank: #35
55%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Gabriel Diallo

Ranking Trends

Fabian Marozsan

  • Current Rank: #54 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #58 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #59 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #56 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #49 (2024-07-22)

Gabriel Diallo

  • Current Rank: #35 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #78 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #86 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #87 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #169 (2024-07-22)

Player Metrics

Fabian Marozsan

Form Index: 48.9
ELO Rating: 1282.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1606.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 77.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.2
Clay: 10.0
Grass: 7.7
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 87.1

Gabriel Diallo

Form Index: 53.1
ELO Rating: 1307.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1613.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.3
Clay: 8.0
Grass: 8.8
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 86.6

Recent Matches

Fabian Marozsan
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Benjamin Bonzi (2-0) hard Washington 77 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs James McCabe (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Sonego (0-2) grass Eastbourne 78 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Machac (0-2) grass Halle 59 min

Gabriel Diallo
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Altmaier (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Tallon Griekspoor (0-2) grass Mallorca 88 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Laslo Djere (2-1) grass Mallorca 107 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jaume Munar (2-0) grass Mallorca 107 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Fabian Marozsan
vs
0
Gabriel Diallo
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament, held on hard courts, Gabriel Diallo is set to face off against Fabian Marozsan. The prediction leans towards Diallo, with a probability of winning at 54.78%, while Marozsan's chances are at 45.22%. The anticipated total number of games played in this matchup is estimated to be 23.0.

Match Analysis

Fabian Marozsan enters this match ranked 54, with a form index of 48.94 and an Elo rating of 1282.18. His cumulative fatigue stands at 77 minutes, indicating that he has been on court longer than his opponent. Marozsan has a surface strength index of 11.23, a mean serve index of 96.85, and a mean return index of 87.15. Gabriel Diallo, on the other hand, holds a higher rank of 35, a form index of 53.11, and a superior Elo rating of 1307.95. Diallo’s fatigue level is notably at 0 minutes, suggesting he comes into this match fresh. His surface strength index is at 8.34, with a mean serve index of 96.16 and a mean return index of 86.60. The difference in their serve indices is negligible, while the return indices are closely matched, with Marozsan having a slight advantage. In their recent performances, Marozsan has shown mixed results, winning his last match against Benjamin Bonzi convincingly but struggling previously at Wimbledon, where he lost to Jaume Munar. Diallo, conversely, faced a tough loss against Taylor Fritz after a strong victory over Daniel Altmaier. His performance indicates resilience, as he managed to win a set in a challenging match, despite the loss.

Final Prediction

Gabriel Diallo's fresh condition and higher ranking give him a slight edge over Fabian Marozsan. The key factor to observe in this match will be Marozsan's ability to leverage his return game, as both players are closely matched in serve capabilities.