Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Felix (rank 8) enters with a higher form index (62.22) and a substantially stronger Elo (3934.18) compared with Giovanni (rank 58, form 52.81, Elo 905.96). Fatigue is a notable differential: Felix has accumulated 110 minutes on court in the tournament, while Giovanni has 339 minutes, which can affect serve consistency and movement over long rallies. On hard courts Felix also posts a higher surface strength index (25.59 vs 8.38), indicating relative comfort on this surface in the provided metrics. Serve and return profiles diverge sharply: Giovanni’s mean serve index (99.96) is far higher than Felix’s (82.81), a difference above 5 points that suggests Giovanni can generate more free points on serve. Conversely, Giovanni’s mean return index (83.66) is also much higher than Felix’s (30.41), another significant gap that points to Giovanni’s effectiveness on return in these data. Recent form shows Felix with two wins and one loss in his last three hard-court matches (wins over Zhang and Bublik, loss to De Minaur). Giovanni is on a three-match winning streak in Dubai, with progressively long matches (71, 113, 155 minutes) contributing to his elevated fatigue tally.