Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Denis Shapovalov vs Filip Misolic Prediction

Denis Shapovalov

Rank: #28
61%
VS

Filip Misolic

Rank: #180
39%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Denis Shapovalov

Player Metrics

Denis Shapovalov

Form Index: 45.7
ELO Rating: 1221.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1597.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.3
Clay: 8.1
Grass: 9.2
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 85.9

Filip Misolic

Form Index: 88.0
ELO Rating: 471.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1567.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.2
Clay: 5.4
Grass: 1.6
Serve Rating: 93.5
Return Rating: 88.4

Recent Matches

Denis Shapovalov

  • Last Match: vs Pedro Martinez (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Vilius Gaubas (0-2) clay Rome 107 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) clay Madrid 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Kei Nishikori (2-0) clay Madrid 64 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Diego Dedura (0-2) clay Munich 63 min

Filip Misolic

  • Last Match: vs Yunchaokete Bu (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Shevchenko (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Lukas Neumayer (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Liam Draxl (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (0-2) clay Bucharest 113 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Denis Shapovalov
vs
0
Filip Misolic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 64 at Roland Garros sees Denis Shapovalov face Filip Misolic on the clay courts of France. With a predicted win probability of 61.40% for Shapovalov compared to 38.60% for Misolic, the match is expected to be competitive, with a total of approximately 36 games forecasted.

Match Analysis

Denis Shapovalov, currently ranked 28, has a form index of 45.75 and an Elo rating of 1221.82. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 174 minutes, indicating he is relatively fresh. Shapovalov's surface strength index is 8.09, and he boasts a mean serve index of 97.46, showcasing his strong serving capabilities. In contrast, Filip Misolic, ranked 180, displays a higher form index of 88.05; however, his Elo rating is considerably lower at 471.64. Misolic's fatigue is significantly higher at 696 minutes, which could impact his performance. Although Misolic has a respectable mean return index of 88.37, the difference in mean serve index (over 5 points) favors Shapovalov, suggesting he may have the edge in service games. In their recent performances, Shapovalov won his last match against Pedro Martinez convincingly without dropping a set, reflecting potential recovery from earlier losses at the Rome and Madrid tournaments. Conversely, Misolic has demonstrated impressive form at Roland Garros, winning all of his last three matches, including victories against higher-ranked opponents. His recent success could provide him with the confidence needed to challenge Shapovalov.

Final Prediction

Denis Shapovalov is favored to win due to his superior serving ability and lower fatigue level, both of which are crucial on clay surfaces. A key factor to observe during the match will be Shapovalov's ability to dominate service games, as this could dictate the pace and flow of the encounter.