Francisco Cerundolo vs Elmer Moller: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Cerundolo arrives as the higher-ranked player (No. 19) with a stronger Elo (1948.2) and a form index of 51.13, while Moller is ranked 127 with a much lower Elo (479.8) and form index 33.76. Fatigue is a major contrast: Cerundolo shows 0 minutes on court so far this week, whereas Moller has accumulated 145 minutes, including a 145-minute win in the previous round. Cerundolo’s surface strength index (12.46) is higher than Moller’s (4.77), though both values are modest. There are notable differences in the serving and returning profiles. Moller’s mean serve index (94.12) is substantially higher than Cerundolo’s (76.57), a gap greater than 5 points. Moller also has a higher mean return index (93.58) versus Cerundolo’s 86.39, another gap exceeding 5 points. Recent form: Cerundolo has won two of his last three clay matches but lost his most recent match in Rio (73 minutes). Moller’s last three matches include a marathon win here in Santiago and two earlier losses (including a long hard-court match at the Australian Open). The accumulated court time and longer recent matches suggest fatigue could influence Moller’s physical sharpness.