Almaty Kazakhstan Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Gabriel Diallo vs James Duckworth Prediction

Gabriel Diallo

Rank: #35
72%
VS

James Duckworth

Rank: #103
28%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Gabriel Diallo

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Ranking Trends

Gabriel Diallo

  • Current #35 2025-09-29
  • 3 mo ago #38 2025-07-14
  • 6 mo ago #81 2025-04-14
  • 9 mo ago #86 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #118 2024-10-14

James Duckworth

  • Current #103 2025-09-29
  • 3 mo ago #113 2025-07-14
  • 6 mo ago #92 2025-04-14
  • 9 mo ago #89 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #63 2024-10-14

Player Metrics

Gabriel Diallo

Form Index: 48.7
ELO Rating: 1249.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1619.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 62.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.9
Clay: 8.0
Grass: 8.6
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 86.2

James Duckworth

Form Index: 52.8
ELO Rating: 527.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1558.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 243.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.9
Clay: 4.2
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 84.6

Recent Matches

Gabriel Diallo
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Amir Omarkhanov (2-0) hard Almaty 62 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Zizou Bergs (1-2) hard Shanghai 168 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs David Goffin (1-0) hard Shanghai 10 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Benjamin Bonzi (2-0) hard Shanghai 88 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (1-2) hard Tokio 129 min

James Duckworth
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ugo Blanchet (2-0) hard Almaty 74 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Mikhail Kukushkin (2-1) hard Almaty 129 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Saba Purtseladze (2-0) hard Almaty 40 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Gauthier Onclin (0-2) hard Shanghai 117 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Taro Daniel (0-2) hard Chengdu 114 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Gabriel Diallo
vs
0
James Duckworth
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Almaty tournament in Kazakhstan features a clash on hard courts between Gabriel Diallo and James Duckworth. With a strong probability of 72.50%, Gabriel Diallo is favored to emerge victorious, while James Duckworth has a 27.50% chance of winning. The predicted total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Gabriel Diallo currently holds a rank of 35, significantly higher than James Duckworth's rank of 103. Diallo boasts a form index of 48.70, which is closely aligned with Duckworth's 52.77, indicating both players are performing relatively well. However, Diallo's Elo rating of 1249.12 far exceeds Duckworth's 527.17, underscoring his higher competitive level. Fatigue plays a crucial role, with Diallo at 62.0 minutes on court compared to Duckworth's considerably higher 243.0 minutes, which could impact Duckworth's performance. On the surface strength index, Diallo excels with a score of 8.87, compared to Duckworth’s 4.88. This disparity indicates Diallo's better adaptation and performance on hard courts. Additionally, Diallo's mean serve index stands at 97.41, while Duckworth's is slightly lower at 96.05, giving Diallo a solid edge in serving capability. The mean return index also favors Diallo, who has an index of 86.17 against Duckworth's 84.64, though the difference is less pronounced.

Final Prediction

Gabriel Diallo's superior ranking, Elo rating, and lower fatigue level provide him with a significant advantage heading into the match against James Duckworth. A key factor to monitor will be Diallo's ability to maintain his serving efficiency throughout the match, which could be pivotal in determining the outcome.

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