Stockholm Sweden Hard Atp 250 Semifinals

Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbert Prediction

Holger Rune

Rank: #11
55%
VS

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #26
45%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Holger Rune

Player Metrics

Holger Rune

Form Index: 61.4
ELO Rating: 1716.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1816.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 261.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.9
Clay: 20.6
Grass: 21.7
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 85.1

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 49.6
ELO Rating: 1475.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1659.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 255.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.9
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 17.7
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 84.9

Recent Matches

Holger Rune

  • Last Match: vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-1) hard Stockholm 153 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Marton Fucsovics (2-0) hard Stockholm 108 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Valentin Vacherot (1-2) hard Shanghai 179 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-1) hard Shanghai 148 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-0) hard Shanghai 94 min

Ugo Humbert

  • Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-1) hard Stockholm 163 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Matteo Berrettini (2-0) hard Stockholm 92 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Shanghai 94 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jordan Thompson (2-0) hard Shanghai 106 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (0-2) hard Tokio 104 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Holger Rune
vs
0
Ugo Humbert
Hard
2 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the semifinals of the Stockholm tournament, held on hard courts in Sweden, Holger Rune is set to face Ugo Humbert in a highly anticipated match. Rune is predicted to emerge victorious with a win probability of 54.80%, while Humbert holds a 45.20% chance of success. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Holger Rune, ranked 11th, boasts a solid form index of 61.42 and an Elo rating of 1716.85, indicating a strong competitive edge. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 261 minutes, suggesting he has managed his energy well thus far. Rune's surface strength index is 13.92, which, while not overwhelming, supports his performance on hard courts. His mean serve index at 96.89 is a distinct advantage over Humbert, who has a mean serve index of 95.65, presenting a difference of over 5 points. Additionally, Rune's mean return index of 85.14 outpaces Humbert's 84.92, though the difference is minimal. Ugo Humbert, currently ranked 26th, has a form index of 49.58 and an Elo rating of 1475.46. His fatigue level is slightly lower at 255 minutes, indicating comparable endurance. In their recent performances, Rune won two out of his last three matches, including a solid victory against Tomas Martin Etcheverry. Conversely, Humbert also secured two wins in his last three matches, notably defeating Lorenzo Sonego. However, it is worth noting that Humbert's last encounter against Rune resulted in a straight-sets defeat, indicating a psychological factor that may influence this matchup.

Final Prediction

Holger Rune's slight edge in both serving and returning capabilities, combined with a higher rank and better recent form, positions him favorably in this semifinal clash. A key factor to watch will be Rune's ability to maintain his serving effectiveness against Humbert's responses, which could be pivotal in determining the match's outcome.