Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model’s edge is driven by two opposing vectors. The largest single factor is Age, which adds 3.3 percentage points toward Ignacio Buse. Countering that, Bonzi picks up ground from his serve and return profile, recent results by level, and current form, which together push the prediction toward him. Specifically, Serve and return game accounts for a 3.0 point move to Bonzi, recent record by level adds 2.1, recent form 1.4, and overall record and opposition quality 1.3, all favoring Bonzi overall. Looking at the raw player data, Buse is the higher-ranked player at 36 and posts a slightly stronger Elo at 1656 versus Bonzi’s 1632. Buse’s form index sits at 43.65 while Bonzi’s is 47.75. Both players show identical tournament fatigue at 421 minutes on court. Surface strength leans slightly to Bonzi at 24.61 compared with Buse at 20.49. Mean serve indices are nearly identical, so no clear serve gap emerges from those numbers. Buse’s mean return index is 90.73 versus Bonzi’s 87.12, a modest advantage in returning for Buse. Both players arrive in good form at Winston Salem. Buse has won his last three matches, including a tight 2-1 win over Juan Manuel Cerundolo and a straight sets victory over Daniel Altmaier. Bonzi is also 3-0 in the event, with two straight set wins and a three set win earlier in the draw. Bonzi’s recent matches have been cleaner in sets won to lost, which supports the model’s slight preference for him.