Cameron Norrie

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1672 · #58 Hard #39 Clay #55 Grass #27 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

275-195 58.5% in 470 matches

Clay 82-54
Grass 26-23
Hard 167-118

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 39 20-19 1652 1772 1672
2025 63 36-27 1612 1911 1866
2024 38 20-18 1694 1812 1703
2023 53 31-22 1744 1928 1661
2022 67 47-20 1794 2008 1857
2021 69 49-20 1588 1989 1948
2020 20 9-11 1598 1677 1546
2019 59 31-28 1562 1703 1677
2018 49 25-24 1552 1667 1584
2017 11 6-5 1518 1666 1645
2016 2 1-1 1500 1516 1503

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Luca Van Assche L 1-3
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Alexander Zverev L 1-2
Dino Prizmic W 2-1
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Arthur Fils L 0-2
Alex de Minaur W 2-1
Ignacio Buse W 2-0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli W 2-0
Jul 27, 2026 Los Cabos · Hard Denis Shapovalov L 1-2
Bernard Tomic W 2-0
James Duckworth W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Cameron Norrie?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 5.3 actual vs 5.4 projected
2.34 our average miss per match
2.67 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+12% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 51 of the 56 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Cameron Norrie follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 39 20-19 56.4% 17 vs 14.8 exp On serve
2025 55 31-24 52.7% 26 vs 21.6 exp On serve
2024 bt 37 20-17 64.9% 13 vs 13.1 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Cameron Norrie's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The ATP ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/cameron-norrie">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)