Basel Switzerland Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Jakub Mensik vs Henry Bernet Prediction

Jakub Mensik

Rank: #19
82%
VS

Henry Bernet

Rank: #481
18%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Jakub Mensik

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Ranking Trends

Jakub Mensik

  • Current #19 2025-10-20
  • 3 mo ago #17 2025-07-21
  • 6 mo ago #23 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #48 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #51 2024-10-21

Henry Bernet

  • Current #481 2025-10-20
  • 3 mo ago #1000 None
  • 6 mo ago #1000 None
  • 9 mo ago #784 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #937 2024-10-21

Player Metrics

Jakub Mensik

Form Index: 44.4
ELO Rating: 1223.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1629.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.1
Clay: 9.8
Grass: 8.3
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 87.6

Henry Bernet

Form Index: 39.2
ELO Rating: 51.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1501.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 0.9
Clay: 0.5
Grass: 0.5
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 84.2

Recent Matches

Jakub Mensik
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jesper de Jong (1-2) hard Shanghai 148 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Cazaux (2-1) hard Beijing 130 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-0) hard Beijing 111 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ugo Blanchet (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Nicolas Jarry (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Henry Bernet
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Marco Trungelliti (1-2) clay Gstaad 164 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Dmitry Popko (2-0) clay Gstaad 91 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jerome Kym (0-2) hard Basel 76 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Fabio Fognini (2-0) hard Basel 74 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs None (0-0) None None 0 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jakub Mensik
vs
0
Henry Bernet
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Basel tournament in Switzerland, Jakub Mensik is set to face Henry Bernet on a hard surface. With a strong statistical edge, Mensik is predicted to win with an 82.19% probability, while Bernet holds a 17.81% chance. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Jakub Mensik, currently ranked 19th, possesses a form index of 44.39 and an Elo rating of 1223.74, indicating solid performance levels. His surface strength index of 13.11 highlights his ability to adapt to hard courts, and he remains fresh with 0.0 minutes of cumulative fatigue. Notably, Mensik's mean serve index of 97.25 is significantly higher than Bernet's 96.98, while his mean return index of 87.57 also exceeds Bernet's 84.21 by more than 5 points, showcasing his superior serving and returning capabilities. In contrast, Henry Bernet is ranked 481st and has a form index of 39.18, with an Elo rating of 51.49, suggesting he is struggling to maintain competitive performance levels. His recent matches on clay do not translate well to the hard surface he will encounter against Mensik. Over his last three matches, Bernet won only one, while Mensik has a more favorable record, having won two of his last three matches, albeit with challenges still evident in his recent performance.

Final Prediction

Jakub Mensik's superior ranking, combined with his higher serve and return indices, gives him a distinct advantage over Henry Bernet. A key factor to observe during the match will be Mensik's ability to leverage his strong serving game to dominate early points, potentially dictating the flow of play right from the start.

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