Nicolas Jarry
ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015
Season ELO trajectory
One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.
Career record
138-135 50.5% in 273 matches
Season by season
| Season | M | W-L | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 0-4 | 1545 | 1533 | 1474 |
| 2025 | 32 | 13-19 | 1639 | 1815 | 1656 |
| 2024 | 37 | 15-22 | 1681 | 1854 | 1577 |
| 2023 | 58 | 40-18 | 1537 | 1886 | 1825 |
| 2022 | 21 | 13-8 | 1546 | 1715 | 1664 |
| 2021 | 3 | 1-2 | 1500 | 1519 | 1497 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1-1 | 1568 | 1581 | 1565 |
| 2019 | 43 | 19-24 | 1602 | 1679 | 1533 |
| 2018 | 46 | 25-21 | 1552 | 1737 | 1626 |
| 2017 | 13 | 7-6 | 1516 | 1688 | 1578 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0-2 | 1512 | 1508 | 1483 |
| 2015 | 12 | 4-8 | 1522 | 1548 | 1385 |
Recent matches
| Week | Tournament | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Miami · Hard | Mattia Bellucci | L 0-2 |
| Mar 04, 2026 | Indian Wells · Hard | Francesco Maestrelli | L 1-2 |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Santiago · Clay | Dino Prizmic | L 1-2 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Rio · Clay | Jaime Faria | L 1-2 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Us Open · Hard | Jakub Mensik | L 0-3 |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Winston Salem · Hard | Kamil Majchrzak | L 0-2 |
| Aug 07, 2025 | Cincinnati · Hard | Pedro Martinez | L 1-2 |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Kitzbuhel · Clay | Botic van de Zandschulp | L 1-2 |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Wimbledon · Grass | Cameron Norrie | L 2-3 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 3-1 |
Serve predictions: how close do we get on Nicolas Jarry?
Comparison covers 22 of the 27 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.
The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.
Predictability: does Nicolas Jarry follow the script?
On serve · 2025| Season | M | W-L | Model hit | Upsets | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27 | 9-18 | 51.9% | 13 vs 10.1 exp | On serve |
| 2024 bt | 37 | 15-22 | 43.2% | 21 vs 12.9 exp | Wild card |
An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Nicolas Jarry's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/nicolas-jarry">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)