Australian Open Australia Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

James Duckworth vs Dino Prizmic: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

James Duckworth

Rank: #86
42%
VS

Dino Prizmic

Rank: #126
58%
Expected Total Games: 39.2
Predicted Winner: Dino Prizmic

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Player Metrics

James Duckworth

Form Index: 36.3
ELO Rating: 727.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1562.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.8
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 4.9
Serve Rating: 76.3
Return Rating: 54.8

Dino Prizmic

Form Index: 51.6
ELO Rating: 451.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1516.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.6
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 93.2

Recent Matches

James Duckworth

  • Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (0-2) hard Adelaide 71 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (1-2) hard Brisbane 146 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (2-0) hard Brisbane 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tristan Schoolkate (2-0) hard Brisbane 71 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (1-2) hard Almaty 132 min

Dino Prizmic

  • Last Match: vs Arthur Fery (0-2) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Gustavo Heide (2-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Patrick Zahraj (1-1) hard Stockholm 65 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (1-2) hard Chengdu 136 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (2-0) hard Chengdu 82 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
James Duckworth
vs
0
Dino Prizmic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between James Duckworth and Dino Prizmic will take place in the Round of 128 at the Australian Open, a prestigious Grand Slam tournament held on hard courts in Australia. The predicted winner is Dino Prizmic, who holds a 57.52% probability of victory compared to Duckworth's 42.48%. The match is expected to feature approximately 39.2 games.

Match Analysis

James Duckworth, currently ranked 86, has a form index of 36.32 and an Elo rating of 727.76. His fatigue level stands at 0 minutes, indicating he is fresh for this encounter. His surface strength index is 3.81, with a mean serve index of 76.29 and a mean return index of 54.82. On the other hand, Dino Prizmic, ranked 126, boasts a higher form index of 51.57 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 451.32. However, he has a larger cumulative fatigue of 348 minutes, which could impact his performance. Prizmic's surface strength index is 4.59, and he has an impressive mean serve index of 94.73—indicating a potential advantage in serving power—along with a mean return index of 93.25. The disparity between their mean serve indices suggests that Prizmic's serve may play a crucial role in the match. In their recent performances, Duckworth has struggled, losing two of his last three matches, including his last outing against Tomas Machac without winning a set. Conversely, Prizmic has had a mixed bag, winning one match against Gustavo Heide and losing another against Arthur Fery in the Australian Open, but overall showing more competitive form with a win in the previous round.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 39.2 Most likely outcome: 39 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Probability distribution chart for total games in James Duckworth versus Dino Prizmic. The X-axis shows possible total games values and the Y-axis shows the predicted probability percentage for each outcome.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total games in James Duckworth versus Dino Prizmic. The curve rises from 0% to 100%, showing the cumulative probability for each games total threshold.

Games Spread Predictions

📈
Expected Games Spread (James Duckworth - Dino Prizmic) +0.1 Most likely spread: 0 (even number of games won)

📊 Games Spread Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each games spread outcome

Probability distribution chart for games spread in James Duckworth versus Dino Prizmic. Positive values indicate James Duckworth winning more games, negative values indicate Dino Prizmic winning more games.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of spread ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for games spread in James Duckworth versus Dino Prizmic. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each spread threshold.

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The match is expected to feature around 23.19 aces, reflecting the hard court's capability to support powerful serving. Moreover, the anticipated total of 6.31 double faults indicates a likelihood of errors, which may be crucial in a closely contested match. Given Prizmic's superior serve rating, he may contribute more to the aces prediction, potentially leading to an exciting display of serving prowess.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 23.2 Most likely: 23 aces
Expected Total Double Faults 6.3 Most likely: 6 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Probability distribution chart for total aces in James Duckworth versus Dino Prizmic. Higher ace counts are more likely on faster surfaces like grass.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total aces in James Duckworth versus Dino Prizmic. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each aces threshold.

Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Probability distribution chart for double faults in James Duckworth versus Dino Prizmic. Clay surface matches tend to produce more double faults due to fatigue in longer rallies.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for double faults in James Duckworth versus Dino Prizmic. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each double faults threshold.

Final Prediction

Dino Prizmic is favored to win due to his higher serve and return indices, alongside a better recent form compared to Duckworth. A key factor to monitor during the match will be how effectively Duckworth can return Prizmic's powerful serve, which could significantly influence the match's dynamics.

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