Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

James Duckworth vs Tristan Boyer Prediction

James Duckworth

Rank: #99
47%
VS

Tristan Boyer

Rank: #116
53%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Tristan Boyer

Player Metrics

James Duckworth

Form Index: 61.2
ELO Rating: 577.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1561.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.3
Clay: 4.1
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 84.6

Tristan Boyer

Form Index: 32.4
ELO Rating: 466.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1515.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.9
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 3.8
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 85.6

Recent Matches

James Duckworth

  • Last Match: vs Zsombor Piros (1-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs James McCabe (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Facundo Bagnis (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Li Tu (0-2) hard Cincinnati 94 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) hard Toronto 82 min

Tristan Boyer

  • Last Match: vs Darwin Blanch (0-2) hard Winston Salem 66 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (1-2) hard Cincinnati 113 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Brandon Holt (2-0) hard Cincinnati 110 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (0-2) hard Toronto 89 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-0) hard Toronto 121 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
James Duckworth
vs
0
Tristan Boyer
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between James Duckworth and Tristan Boyer in the Round of 128 at the 2025 US Open is poised to be closely contested on hard courts in New York. The predicted winner is Tristan Boyer, with a win probability of 52.72% compared to Duckworth's 47.28%. The forecasted total number of games played in this matchup is set at 38.

Match Analysis

James Duckworth is currently ranked 99 with a form index of 61.25, showcasing a moderate level of performance. His Elo rating stands at 577.30, indicating his competitive experience. However, Duckworth has accumulated 522 minutes of fatigue from his matches in the tournament, which could affect his stamina in this encounter. His surface strength index is a respectable 5.28, and he has a mean serve index of 97.48, suggesting he has a solid serve. Duckworth’s mean return index is 84.56, which is slightly lower but competitive. In contrast, Tristan Boyer, ranked 116, has a form index of 32.37 and a considerably lower Elo rating of 466.86. Boyer's cumulative fatigue is currently at 0 minutes, indicating he enters this match fresh. His surface strength index is 4.88, slightly lower than Duckworth's, while his mean serve index of 95.17 is close, but not significantly different. His mean return index of 85.57 is notably higher than Duckworth’s by a margin of over 5 points, which may give him an advantage in returning serves effectively. In their recent performances, Duckworth won two of his last three matches, while Boyer won only once, but it’s important to note that Boyer has played fewer matches recently.

Final Prediction

Tristan Boyer holds a slight edge in this matchup due to his lack of accumulated fatigue and a superior return index, which could prove crucial on hard courts. A key factor to watch will be how well each player manages their serve and return game, particularly in the critical moments of the match.