Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Jenson Brooksby vs Alexandre Muller Prediction

Jenson Brooksby

Rank: #102
41%
VS

Alexandre Muller

Rank: #40
59%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alexandre Muller

Ranking Trends

Jenson Brooksby

  • Current Rank: #102 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #166 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #1093 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #1000 (None)
  • 12 Months Ago: #1000 (None)

Alexandre Muller

  • Current Rank: #40 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #39 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #58 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #68 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #77 (2024-08-12)

Player Metrics

Jenson Brooksby

Form Index: 28.2
ELO Rating: 965.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1573.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.6
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 4.1
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 88.3

Alexandre Muller

Form Index: 36.0
ELO Rating: 1288.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1608.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.5
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 8.8
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 88.9

Recent Matches

Jenson Brooksby
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Corentin Moutet (0-2) hard Toronto 73 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Yoshihito Nishioka (1-2) hard Washington 158 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Joao Fonseca (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Tallon Griekspoor (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) grass Eastbourne 86 min

Alexandre Muller
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Toronto 65 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-1) hard Toronto 127 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Corentin Moutet (0-1) hard Washington 57 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Beibit Zhukayev (2-0) hard Washington 86 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jenson Brooksby
vs
0
Alexandre Muller
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Jenson Brooksby and Alexandre Muller in the round of 128 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 promises to be an intriguing encounter on hard courts. With Alexandre Muller favored to win with a probability of 58.66%, compared to Brooksby's 41.34%, the predicted total number of games played is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 102, Jenson Brooksby is facing a significant challenge against the 40th-ranked Alexandre Muller. Brooksby has a form index of 28.19 and an Elo rating of 965.74, while Muller boasts a higher form index of 36.04 and an Elo rating of 1288.07. Neither player has accumulated fatigue, which could suggest a fresh energy level heading into the match. On hard surfaces, Brooksby holds a surface strength index of 1.56, while Muller has a much stronger index of 8.49. This difference indicates that Muller is more adept at handling the conditions on this surface. Additionally, Muller's mean serve index is slightly lower than Brooksby's by just 0.37 points, which may not be a significant factor, but his mean return index is higher, with a difference of 5.6 points, indicating superior returning capabilities. In their recent performances, Brooksby has struggled, losing all three of his last matches, including a straight-sets defeat to Corentin Moutet in Toronto. In contrast, Muller has shown more resilience, securing a win against Miomir Kecmanovic in Toronto, although he suffered a loss to Holger Rune in his last outing. This recent form could give Muller a psychological edge going into their clash.

Final Prediction

Alexandre Muller is predicted to have the upper hand due to his higher ranking, better recent form, and superior surface strength index. A key factor to watch during the match will be Muller's returning ability, which could significantly impact Brooksby's service games.