Yoshihito Nishioka

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1498 Last match: Feb 16, 2026 · inactive

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

183-174 51.3% in 357 matches

Clay 29-36
Grass 9-16
Hard 145-122

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 2 0-2 1553 1510 1498
2025 29 12-17 1581 1679 1609
2024 42 21-21 1596 1703 1603
2023 39 19-20 1613 1748 1727
2022 42 22-20 1582 1733 1708
2021 32 13-19 1606 1647 1600
2020 20 10-10 1576 1709 1588
2019 45 24-21 1570 1783 1710
2018 21 9-12 1533 1594 1566
2017 21 14-7 1560 1763 1742
2016 36 22-14 1550 1727 1650
2015 28 17-11 1531 1775 1669

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Feb 16, 2026 Delray Beach · Hard Coleman Wong L 0-2
Jan 18, 2026 Australian Open · Hard George Loffhagen L 0-1
Oct 01, 2025 Shanghai · Hard Jaume Munar L 1-2
Andrey Rublev W 2-1
Alexander Shevchenko W 2-0
Aleksandar Vukic W 2-0
Rio Noguchi W 2-0
Sep 24, 2025 Tokio · Hard Luciano Darderi L 0-2
Aug 24, 2025 Us Open · Hard Frances Tiafoe L 0-3
Aug 17, 2025 Winston Salem · Hard Pablo Carreno Busta L 0-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Yoshihito Nishioka?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 2.5 actual vs 4.1 projected
1.92 our average miss per match
1.68 baseline average miss (last five matches)
-14% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 19 of the 24 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Yoshihito Nishioka follow the script?

On serve · 2025
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2025 24 8-16 62.5% 9 vs 9.6 exp On serve
2024 bt 33 16-17 63.6% 12 vs 12.0 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Yoshihito Nishioka's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/yoshihito-nishioka">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)