Brussels Belgium Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Jiri Lehecka vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Prediction

Jiri Lehecka

Rank: #19
76%
VS

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Rank: #252
24%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Jiri Lehecka

Ranking Trends

Jiri Lehecka

  • Current Rank: #19 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #25 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #26 (2025-04-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #29 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #33 (2024-10-14)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

  • Current Rank: #252 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #467 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #1000 (None)
  • 9 Months Ago: #797 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #869 (2024-10-14)

Player Metrics

Jiri Lehecka

Form Index: 62.3
ELO Rating: 1875.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1719.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.8
Clay: 15.3
Grass: 17.0
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 85.0

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Form Index: 56.8
ELO Rating: 198.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1520.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 378.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.1
Clay: 0.3
Grass: 0.4
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.7

Recent Matches

Jiri Lehecka
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Rinderknech (0-2) hard Shanghai 91 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Denis Shapovalov (2-0) hard Shanghai 93 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Quentin Halys (2-0) hard Shanghai 85 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Adrian Mannarino (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Raphael Collignon (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Altmaier (2-1) hard Brussels 158 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Valentin Royer (2-0) hard Brussels 128 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Marco Trungelliti (2-0) hard Brussels 92 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Daniel Altmaier (0-2) hard Brussels 77 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (2-0) hard Brussels 101 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jiri Lehecka
vs
0
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Brussels tournament, Jiri Lehecka faces off against Gilles Arnaud Bailly on hard courts. With Lehecka currently ranked 19th and boasting a strong form, he is favored to win this match with a probability of 75.56%, while Bailly holds a 24.44% chance. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is estimated at 22.

Match Analysis

Jiri Lehecka, ranked 19th, shows a strong form index of 62.35 and an Elo rating of 1875.02, indicating a competitive edge. His fatigue level is at 0, suggesting he has not exerted himself significantly in the current tournament. Lehecka also excels on hard surfaces, with a surface strength index of 16.79. His mean serve index (97.39) surpasses Bailly's by a narrow margin of 0.38, indicating a slight advantage in serving capabilities. However, Lehecka's mean return index (84.96) significantly outperforms Bailly's (86.70), showcasing his ability to challenge Bailly's serve effectively. In contrast, Gilles Arnaud Bailly is ranked 252nd and has a lower form index of 56.80, along with an Elo rating of 198.91. He has played significantly longer in the tournament, accumulating 378 minutes of fatigue. Bailly's surface strength index is notably low at 2.09, which could hinder his performance against a player of Lehecka's caliber. Over his last three matches, Bailly has secured victories against lower-ranked opponents, but these matches have been long and demanding, indicating a potential struggle against a fresher Lehecka.

Final Prediction

Jiri Lehecka's combination of higher ranking, superior form, and a fresher state heading into the match positions him as the clear favorite. A key factor to watch will be Lehecka's service game, as his ability to maintain consistent pressure on Bailly's serve could dictate the flow of the match.