Gstaad Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs David Goffin Prediction

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Rank: #112
45%
VS

David Goffin

Rank: #63
55%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: David Goffin

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Ranking Trends

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

  • Current #112 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #127 2025-04-14
  • 6 mo ago #139 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #151 2024-10-14
  • 12 mo ago #152 2024-07-15

David Goffin

  • Current #63 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #52 2025-04-14
  • 6 mo ago #54 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #53 2024-10-14
  • 12 mo ago #98 2024-07-15

Player Metrics

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Form Index: 59.4
ELO Rating: 763.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1590.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 140.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.7
Clay: 7.2
Grass: 3.6
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 89.5

David Goffin

Form Index: 36.0
ELO Rating: 1008.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1563.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 120.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.5
Clay: 8.8
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 89.3

Recent Matches

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

David Goffin
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
vs
0
David Goffin
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Gstaad tournament in Switzerland, Juan Manuel Cerundolo is set to face David Goffin on clay. With both players eager to advance, Goffin is predicted to emerge victorious with a 55.02% probability of winning, while Cerundolo’s chances stand at 44.98%. The predicted total number of games played is 22.0, suggesting a competitive encounter.

Match Analysis

David Goffin, currently ranked 63rd, holds a higher Elo rating of 1008.49 compared to Cerundolo's 763.15. Goffin's form index of 36.03 also indicates a slight edge in competitiveness, especially as he comes off a solid performance in Gstaad where he won his last match without dropping a set. In terms of fatigue, Goffin has played 120 minutes in the current tournament, which is slightly less than Cerundolo’s 140 minutes, potentially giving him an advantage in stamina. Cerundolo, ranked 112th, has a surface strength index of 7.16, while Goffin shows a stronger index of 8.83, suggesting Goffin is better suited to the clay surface. The mean serve index for Cerundolo is 96.04, while Goffin’s is slightly lower at 95.45, indicating a narrow margin in serving capabilities. However, both players have comparable return indices, with Cerundolo at 89.54 and Goffin at 89.34, indicating a balanced exchange in return game strengths.

Final Prediction

Goffin's higher ranking, better surface strength, and recent match form give him a notable advantage in this matchup. The key factor to monitor will be Goffin’s ability to maintain his momentum from the previous round, as a strong start could dictate the pace of the match.

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