Gstaad Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Semifinals

Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Ignacio Buse Prediction

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Rank: #112
48%
VS

Ignacio Buse

Rank: #152
52%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Ignacio Buse

Player Metrics

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Form Index: 62.8
ELO Rating: 906.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1600.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 396.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.7
Clay: 8.4
Grass: 3.6
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 89.7

Ignacio Buse

Form Index: 54.3
ELO Rating: 399.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1520.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 669.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.1
Clay: 3.4
Grass: 2.2
Serve Rating: 93.9
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

  • Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (2-1) clay Gstaad 129 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs David Goffin (2-1) clay Gstaad 127 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (2-1) clay Gstaad 140 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (0-2) grass London 70 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Hamad Medjedovic (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Ignacio Buse

  • Last Match: vs Roman Andres Burruchaga (2-1) clay Gstaad 134 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Kamil Majchrzak (2-1) clay Gstaad 111 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (2-1) clay Gstaad 142 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Patrick Zahraj (2-0) clay Gstaad 117 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Albert Ramos-Vinolas (2-1) clay Gstaad 165 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
vs
0
Ignacio Buse
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The semifinals of the Gstaad tournament in Switzerland feature a compelling matchup on clay between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Ignacio Buse. With a tight prediction, Buse is favored to win with a probability of 51.92%, while Cerundolo has a 48.08% chance. The expected total number of games played is estimated to be around 23.

Match Analysis

Juan Manuel Cerundolo, currently ranked 112, holds a higher form index of 62.81 compared to Ignacio Buse's 54.27. Cerundolo also boasts a significantly better Elo rating of 906.65 versus Buse's 399.02, indicating stronger overall performance in recent matches. Despite this, Cerundolo has accumulated 396 minutes of fatigue in the tournament, while Buse has a higher cumulative fatigue of 669 minutes. In terms of surface strength index, Cerundolo again outperforms Buse, with an index of 8.38 compared to Buse's 3.42. Notably, the mean serve index difference is marginal, with Cerundolo at 96.05 and Buse at 93.87, while there is a small gap in their mean return index, with Cerundolo at 89.69 and Buse at 87.31. Both players have shown solid performance in their recent matches. Cerundolo secured victories against Casper Ruud, David Goffin, and Jan-Lennard Struff, winning all three matches in straight sets. His consistency bodes well for this semifinal. Buse, on the other hand, has also triumphed in his last three matches against Roman Andres Burruchaga, Kamil Majchrzak, and Laslo Djere, albeit with slightly less dominance, as all matches were competitive but he managed to win each in three sets.

Final Prediction

Ignacio Buse's slight edge in fatigue may be offset by Cerundolo's superior ranking and recent form, making this match closely contested. A key factor to observe will be Cerundolo's ability to maintain his serve under pressure, as his serve index suggests he could dictate play if he finds his rhythm early.