Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Karen Khachanov vs Nishesh Basavareddy Prediction

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #12
75%
VS

Nishesh Basavareddy

Rank: #109
25%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Karen Khachanov

Player Metrics

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 55.0
ELO Rating: 2053.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1770.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.4
Clay: 18.8
Grass: 16.6
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 85.6

Nishesh Basavareddy

Form Index: 55.1
ELO Rating: 656.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1543.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.8
Clay: 3.3
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 94.2
Return Rating: 86.1

Recent Matches

Karen Khachanov

  • Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) hard Cincinnati 70 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (2-0) hard Cincinnati 84 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (2-0) hard Cincinnati 110 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (2-1) hard Toronto 172 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (2-0) hard Toronto 104 min

Nishesh Basavareddy

  • Last Match: vs Raphael Collignon (2-0) hard Winston Salem 98 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Tristan Schoolkate (2-0) hard Winston Salem 96 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alex Rybakov (2-0) hard Winston Salem 54 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) hard Cincinnati 66 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-0) hard Cincinnati 100 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Karen Khachanov
vs
0
Nishesh Basavareddy
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The first-round match at the 2025 US Open sees Karen Khachanov, ranked 12th in the world, face off against Nishesh Basavareddy, ranked 109th. This hard-court encounter promises to be an intriguing clash of experience versus emerging talent. Khachanov is favored to win with a probability of 75.34%, while Basavareddy has a 24.66% chance of pulling off an upset, with the predicted total number of games played set at 37.

Match Analysis

Karen Khachanov enters this match with a form index of 55.02 and an Elo rating of 2053.42, reflecting his strong competitive standing. He has demonstrated solid performance on hard courts, as indicated by a surface strength index of 16.44. In contrast, Nishesh Basavareddy, with a rank of 109, has a slightly higher form index of 55.13 but a significantly lower Elo rating of 656.00, indicating a gap in experience at high-stakes tournaments. The difference in their mean serve index, with Khachanov at 96.79 and Basavareddy at 94.15, is notable, as it exceeds 5 points. Additionally, Khachanov's mean return index of 85.61 also surpasses Basavareddy's 86.07, suggesting an edge in both serving and returning capabilities. In their recent performances, Khachanov has won two of his last three matches, with a notable victory against Jenson Brooksby but a disappointing loss to Alexander Zverev. Basavareddy, on the other hand, has showcased impressive form in his last three matches at Winston-Salem, winning all of them without dropping a set. This recent success could provide him with confidence heading into this match, but the level of competition he faced differs significantly from Khachanov.

Final Prediction

Khachanov has the advantage in terms of experience, ranking, and overall performance metrics, which positions him as the likely winner in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Basavareddy can handle Khachanov's powerful serve and maintain his composure against a higher-ranked opponent.